I put most emphasis on marks--records broken, etc...but being a Ducks fan, I'll be rooting for UO's women to win!! And your latest formsheet shows SEVERAL places where they can gain points. Most especially by Hasay moving up a place or two in both the 10K and 5K.....by Friday and Kesselring doing better in the 1500, by both relay teams moving up a place or two, and by Francis doing better in the 400.
Unless Saina makes an attempt at the CR in the 10K, Hasay can win it! As I said before, she looked TOTALLY comfortable at Stanford.
Besides, with all the dual meets, Mt SAC and Penn coming up this month, I'm guessing that formchart will be MUCH changed come 4 weeks from now!!
Prior to last year's NCAA, Natosha Rogers hadn't broken 33.....or was that 34?? Then she WINS in 32:41!!
Then a couple of weeks later, she runs 42 seconds faster!!
Hasay looked SUPER comfortable running 16:44 and 16:02 splits......finishing basically "first" amongst the "non-superstars"......just as Reid and Cain finished "1st and 2nd" among the "NON-superstars" in that Boston two mile!!
I may be proved wrong, but I believe she has a full minute to slash from that 32:46. So, like I said, unless Saina goes for a 31:18 or faster, Hasay SHOULD be in the fight!!
Last edited by aaronk on Wed Apr 03, 2013 8:18 am, edited 1 time in total.
Last year, this magazine noted that Rebecca Alexander was the most critical athlete for LSU's title hopes, and Alexander went out and had the meet of her life - 2nd place in the 400, superb on the third leg of the 4x100 and a 49.5 split in the 4x400. This year, the two LSU athletes I'll be following closely going into the championship season are Nikita Tracey and Shana-Gaye Tracey (not related). As the Traceys go, so goes LSU.
Mighty Favog wrote:All four contenders are rated in the 4x100. Between regionals and nationals,each team has to get that stick around the track four times. Big disadvantage to whoever screws that up.
Aside from LSU's 2009 DNF, Texas A&M and LSU have had the top two spots locked up for the last six years and they've also accounted for all 27 of the collegiate sub-43 performances during that time period. What do you think the odds are that all four teams make it to the final in Eugene? Also, what are the odds that Central Florida can break up the Tiger-Aggie or Aggie-Tiger 1-2?
Oregon is shockingly unbalanced for a Duck team. They won the Indoor without a single field point and don't currently project for any outdoors either.
in the history of the NCAA women's meet (starting in '82), the only years in which they haven't scored a field point are '84, '86, '94, '95, '96, '97, '98.
Of course, the secret to winning NCAA team titles doesn't lie in having a balanced team; it's putting together the right mix of sprinters and hurdlers who can double up individually, then double/triple back on relay(s) as well. And as a backup strategy, doubling distance runners.
(which is terrible for the sport as a whole, as jumpers and throwers are treated as second-class citizens)
gh wrote:latest chart now on front page: KU still ahead of Oregon by a point, but that's with Gardner not running the 200 for the Ducks.
At the same time, Oregon is projected for 10 points in the 4x4 (with only 1 point for Kansas). That's optimistic for Oregon, especially if Gardner runs 4x1, 200, and 4x4 within a couple hours.
Without Gardner, Oregon's w4x4 was only about 7th in their Regionals heat after the first two runners, before Roesler ran a great leg to move them into 3rd.
Yea, that 4x4 had me worried, and actually made me think who they ran with before Gardner? Her first appearance on the relay was only at the outdoor finals last year, while the other 3 legs have remained consistent.
26mi235 wrote:Last year she had a surprisingly strong 400 leg of about 50.x (can someone get more accurate). Take off about 2 seconds and they look pretty strong.
Yea, they have already run 3:26 earlier this year. The only difference is that now Gardner is in the 200, and if she makes the finals, that only gives her one hour before she has to lead off the in the relay. But they are also at home, so adrenaline will be through the roof.
You also have to look at the 4x400 heats too. Robert Johnson would have to decide whether to run someone else in her place and risk not making it to the final. I've seen other coaches in similar predicaments call it either way. Some coaches don't want to risk running their stars into the ground before the meet is finsihed and some coaches don't want to risk not getting their 4x400 team into the final.