sub 2 hour marathon predicted monday.

[doug5321]

http://www.letsrun.com/forum/flat_read. ... ad=4530229

[lonewolf]

Predictions are cheap.. it ain't gonna happen.

[kuha]

[az2004]

forecast is a strong tailwind from the sw, although it will be warm, too warm

[26mi235]

It will not be as warm as the Olympic Marathon, and the particulars of the temperature can vary; The forecast has changed five degrees in temperature and the dew point since yesterday but could go back. It is also likely that if it is that warm, the wind will be more from the south than straight from the west. And, while windy in the afternoon, mid-morning and noon calls for only 8mph and that is the reading at 10meters up, so more like 5mph at body level. In general, the Boston forecast that centers on Logan Airport, which is on the water, you you have to be a little careful in what you use. Definitely worse than a couple of days ago and not a forecast too my liking as a runner.

They have moved the start back from noon to 10am, so that helps a bit.

[Conor Dary]

I am still looking for the first sub 60 on the easier first half. And that is a long way off.

[Pego]

Yes, and once the winner crosses the finish line he will high jump 246. Guaranteed!

[Marlow]

forecast is a strong tailwind from the sw, although it will be warm, too warm

And a tail wind makes it feel even warmer, because no breeze to cool the body.

[TN1965]

I am still looking for the first sub 60 on the easier first half. And that is a long way off.

Given most of the fast marathons today are run in negative splits, you are likely to see a sub-60 second half before you see a sub-60 first half.

[26mi235]

Well, it is mainly the winners that negative split the race (and those near) but most drop off in the second half of the second half (last quarter -- that dreaded last 10k).

[kuha]

I am still looking for the first sub 60 on the easier first half. And that is a long way off.

Given most of the fast marathons today are run in negative splits, you are likely to see a sub-60 second half before you see a sub-60 first half.

The real point here is that, for the time being, this sub-2 talk is pure LSD babble. It's so out there, it should be illegal.

[lovetorun]

It's not going to happen in Boston Monday , or IMHO ever...

[pakillo]

And before Boston, big marathon weekend: Rotterdam, Paris, Vienna, Dublin 10km race(with Bekele)...
Last year's Boston second Moses Mosop in Rotterdam.

[TN1965]

Well, it is mainly the winners that negative split the race (and those near) but most drop off in the second half of the second half (last quarter -- that dreaded last 10k).

And it is the winners who will have the first sub-60 second half, or certainly the first sub-2.

[nevetsllim]

And before Boston, big marathon weekend: Rotterdam, Paris, Vienna, Dublin 10km race(with Bekele)...
Last year's Boston second Moses Mosop in Rotterdam.

There's also the Brighton Marathon. It's not a big marathon but according to the IAAF preview, Assefa Mezegebu (blast from the past ) is running in the men's race.

[nevetsllim]

Stanley Biwott on course for victory in Paris in about 2:05-2:06. About 10-12 guys passed through halfway in close to WR-pace (61:51 split) but everyone's slowed markedly (or dropped out altogether).

Rotterdam streaming here.
http://nos.nl/dossier/231914-marathon-n ... /388/live/

[nevetsllim]

Biwott actually held it together quite well with a CR of 2:05:11. Fastest non-Dubai performance of the year although I suppose a 2:05-time doesn't really impress anyone in Kenya these days.

[nevetsllim]

Feleke and Adhane were inside Makau's WR pace for much of the first half (12sec up at 20km in 58:18) although they're drifting outside his pace through 35km (1:42:34 to Makau's 1:42:16). Mosop third currently.

And incredibly, this is Adhane's fourth marathon in five months!

[nevetsllim]

Adhane won Rotterdam in a PB of 2:04:47. Feleke also sub-2:05 with Mosop just outside.

[nevetsllim]

Splits for the leaders (not necessarily Adhane) - 14:35, 29:05, 43:42, 58:18, 1:13:00, 1:27:42, 1:42:34, 1:57:56. Not sure of the halfway split as the camera was further down the road.

[nevetsllim]

27:49 for Bekele in Dublin.