Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games


A place for the discussion of all things not closely related to the sport and its competitive side. (as always, locked for the duration of major international championship)

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby donley2 » Fri Mar 22, 2013 6:08 am

If you look further down that page to the round of 32 game odds you do see, that while everybody loves the long shot, low seeds really do not advance very far the vast majority of the time.
donley2
 
Posts: 2058
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: Fort Worth, Texas

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby 26mi235 » Fri Mar 22, 2013 8:09 am

The 8/9 split is not significant, as they play each other first. The 54/58 result confirms this.
26mi235
 
Posts: 16313
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: Madison, WI

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby gh » Fri Mar 22, 2013 10:58 am

damned Badgers! A 2-round hit for me.
gh
 
Posts: 46290
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:31 am
Location: firmly at Arya's side!

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby Pego » Fri Mar 22, 2013 2:18 pm

gh wrote:damned Badgers! A 2-round hit for me.


Most disappointing. They just couldn't score.
Pego
 
Posts: 10196
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: beyond help

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby gh » Fri Mar 22, 2013 2:26 pm

Chris Solinsky tweet

<<I immediately regret picking Wisconsin to the Final Four in ALL of my brackets. No longer interested in the NCAA tournament. #tragic.>>
gh
 
Posts: 46290
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:31 am
Location: firmly at Arya's side!

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby DrJay » Fri Mar 22, 2013 7:04 pm

Coin toss method failed, but I have Miami winning it all in my other office pool bracket. The ACC, baby!
DrJay
 
Posts: 5481
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: Woodland Park, CO

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby jeremyp » Fri Mar 22, 2013 7:27 pm

Little old FGCU beat Georgetown. They're from little old Ft. Myers Florida, my current domain. Unfreakingbelievable.
jeremyp
 
Posts: 4541
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: Florida

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby rsb2 » Fri Mar 22, 2013 10:02 pm

Not a good day, 7 wins and 9 losses for a 2-day total of 18 wins / 14 losses. Somehow, I still have a highly theoretical possibility of having 14 teams in the Sweet Sixteen, having lost only Georgetown and Kansas State. At this point, I will gladly settle for a Terrific Ten!
rsb2
 
Posts: 229
Joined: Sun Jul 15, 2012 5:21 pm

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby gh » Sat Mar 23, 2013 7:12 am

I wonder how yesterday was on the all-time carnage list? My picks weren't remotely adventuresome and I went from a 14-2 Thursday to a 9-7. Sheesh!

But i LOVE all the upsets.
gh
 
Posts: 46290
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:31 am
Location: firmly at Arya's side!

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby donley2 » Sat Mar 23, 2013 2:01 pm

gh wrote:Chris Solinsky tweet

<<I immediately regret picking Wisconsin to the Final Four in ALL of my brackets. No longer interested in the NCAA tournament. #tragic.>>


I have not lost all interest, because I really like college basketball, but dang K-State losing (after Mississippi had gotten rid of our nemesis Wisconsin) sure took the wind out of my sails yesterday.
donley2
 
Posts: 2058
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: Fort Worth, Texas

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby Conor Dary » Sat Mar 23, 2013 5:18 pm

The Ducks roll again!
Conor Dary
 
Posts: 6297
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: कनोर दारी in Ronald MacDonald's Home Town, and once a Duck always a Duck.

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby Tuariki » Sat Mar 23, 2013 5:36 pm

Am 23 of 37 with 15 teams still live.
Tuariki
 
Posts: 1288
Joined: Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:39 pm
Location: Rohe o Te Whanau a Apanui

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby gh » Sat Mar 23, 2013 9:19 pm

I'm at 29, with St. Louis, Gonzaga (twice), Wisconsin and Georgetown gone. On the first, I obviously overrated the "win one for the Rickster" coefficient.
gh
 
Posts: 46290
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:31 am
Location: firmly at Arya's side!

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby donley2 » Sun Mar 24, 2013 6:53 pm

Well Florida Gulf Coast is now the first 15 seed to advance to the round of 16. Dang Lasalle wins again as a 13 seed.
donley2
 
Posts: 2058
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: Fort Worth, Texas

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby rsb2 » Sun Mar 24, 2013 8:46 pm

Only 11 of the Sweet Sixteen, but arranged such that I could still have 7 of the final 8, with only Gonzaga gone. Emphasis is on the word "could" :)
rsb2
 
Posts: 229
Joined: Sun Jul 15, 2012 5:21 pm

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby gh » Sun Mar 24, 2013 8:50 pm

I ended up 35-13 for teh first weekend, with 12/16, 7/8 and 4/4 left.
gh
 
Posts: 46290
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:31 am
Location: firmly at Arya's side!

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby donley2 » Mon Mar 25, 2013 7:26 am

Well there were a couple of firsts related to double digit seeds advancing.

http://espn.go.com/blog/collegebasketballnation


1. Florida Gulf Coast became the first No. 15 seed to reach the Sweet 16. No. 15 seeds were previously 0-6 in the Round of 32, with the average loss being by 15 points.

2. La Salle and Florida Gulf Coast both made the Sweet 16. This is the first time ever that two teams seeded 13 or lower are in the Sweet 16. Add No. 12 seed Oregon and this marks the first time that three teams seeded No. 12 or lower are in the Sweet 16.
donley2
 
Posts: 2058
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: Fort Worth, Texas

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby jeremyp » Mon Mar 25, 2013 7:46 am

We are going nuts in Ft Myers over FGCU. Now it's them v Florida, and maybe down the road one of them versus Miami in the semis.
http://www.news-press.com/viewart/20130 ... s-Sweet-16
jeremyp
 
Posts: 4541
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: Florida

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby DrJay » Tue Mar 26, 2013 8:15 pm

Miami's going to win it all.
DrJay
 
Posts: 5481
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: Woodland Park, CO

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby bambam » Wed Mar 27, 2013 3:54 pm

DrJay wrote:Miami's going to win it all.


Starting center out - just had knee surgery
bambam
 
Posts: 3847
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: Durham, NC

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby gh » Wed Mar 27, 2013 7:29 pm

yeah, but if you did it, he'll be back in time, right? :mrgreen:
gh
 
Posts: 46290
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:31 am
Location: firmly at Arya's side!

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby jeremyp » Thu Mar 28, 2013 1:12 pm

Some things about FGCU. One of them is their coach is a self made multi millionaire and holds the NCAAIII free throw record (.925) and missed only 25 free throws in his career!!!!! Which by my math doesn't mean a lot of free throws? Like 313 or something?

http://www.dallasnews.com/sports/colleg ... -coast.ece
jeremyp
 
Posts: 4541
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: Florida

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby jeremyp » Thu Mar 28, 2013 1:15 pm

DrJay wrote:Miami's going to win it all.

But the FGCU Eagles did manage to pull off an early season upset over Miami so defeating Florida is certainly not impossible and neither is beating Miami.
jeremyp
 
Posts: 4541
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: Florida

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby dukehjsteve » Thu Mar 28, 2013 1:16 pm

gh wrote:yeah, but if you did it, he'll be back in time, right? :mrgreen:



bam bam has also offered his surgical services to any and all University of North Carolina athletes, free of charge. However, no guarantees of quality or of good results. :lol:
dukehjsteve
 
Posts: 6054
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: Fishers, IN

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby Tuariki » Thu Mar 28, 2013 6:10 pm

I am 100% after the first 2 games.
Unfortunately,that is 100% wrong. :cry:
Tuariki
 
Posts: 1288
Joined: Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:39 pm
Location: Rohe o Te Whanau a Apanui

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby donley2 » Thu Mar 28, 2013 6:28 pm

Tuariki wrote:I am 100% after the first 2 games.
Unfortunately,that is 100% wrong. :cry:


Not quite as bad here (1 of 2), but it is a bit funny to enter a "second chance" bracket and then immediately miss the first game.
donley2
 
Posts: 2058
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: Fort Worth, Texas

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby rsb2 » Thu Mar 28, 2013 6:41 pm

Tuariki wrote:I am 100% after the first 2 games.
Unfortunately,that is 100% wrong. :cry:


I share your grief...Whoever thought it was a good idea to try and pick the
winners in this tournament ? (: ?
rsb2
 
Posts: 229
Joined: Sun Jul 15, 2012 5:21 pm

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby Tuariki » Thu Mar 28, 2013 8:08 pm

rsb2 wrote:
Tuariki wrote:I am 100% after the first 2 games.
Unfortunately,that is 100% wrong. :cry:


I share your grief...Whoever thought it was a good idea to try and pick the
winners in this tournament ? (: ?

Damn. Stupid Indiana. I am still 100%
But I am looking good for Wichita State
Tuariki
 
Posts: 1288
Joined: Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:39 pm
Location: Rohe o Te Whanau a Apanui

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby rsb2 » Thu Mar 28, 2013 8:49 pm

I am so glad I didn't have anyone left in the Wichita State/ LaSalle bracket. Going 0/3 sounds so much better than 0/4, don't you think ? :)
rsb2
 
Posts: 229
Joined: Sun Jul 15, 2012 5:21 pm

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby Tuariki » Fri Mar 29, 2013 1:27 am

Only if you went with La Salle. I am now 3 -1 (sounds better than 1 - 3)
Tuariki
 
Posts: 1288
Joined: Tue Dec 14, 2010 9:39 pm
Location: Rohe o Te Whanau a Apanui

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby gh » Fri Mar 29, 2013 9:31 am

rsb2 wrote:
Tuariki wrote:I am 100% after the first 2 games.
Unfortunately,that is 100% wrong. :cry:


I share your grief...Whoever thought it was a good idea to try and pick the
winners in this tournament ? (: ?


Earlier we had a thread titled something like "best team in college basketball?" and on February 27 I posted <<d, none of the above (above = all NCAA teams), meaning that this year's bracketology is going to be wild-wild-wild.>>

The only solace I can take from losing Indiana and Miami last night is that I s uspect nearly everybody else did too. The not-so-good is that I had Indiana as my winner, so I guess I don't need to watch any more hoops this year :mrgreen:
gh
 
Posts: 46290
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:31 am
Location: firmly at Arya's side!

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby dukehjsteve » Sat Mar 30, 2013 9:22 am

Feelin' real good after Duke's win over Michigan State. I was too cheap to buy a ticket, here in my home town, but TV gave me a satisfactory viewing experience.

Dunno about Louisville. They are good. Win or lose Duke's had a great year.

Final note... saw a hilarious shirt yesterday... entering the local pizza palace, wearing my Duke sweat shirt to fly the flag, I encountered a guy wearing a Kentucky blue sweatshirt, and emblazoned on it in large capital letters was " I STILL HATE LAETTNER." We then had a good laugh together. Gotta love it !
dukehjsteve
 
Posts: 6054
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: Fishers, IN

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby gh » Sat Mar 30, 2013 8:55 pm

In retrospect, the best tip was probably "don't p ut a Big 10 team in your final 4" :twisted:


(a rule I certainly didn't heed!)
gh
 
Posts: 46290
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:31 am
Location: firmly at Arya's side!

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby Friar » Sat Mar 30, 2013 9:08 pm

The Orange zone is quite effective though not what I'd call particularly aggressive. Since there really isn't much game planning for it and the Bb IQ for attacking it really doesn't exist in the 2013 player I think Sy is in pretty good position next week.

Which may be the NCAA's least fav scenario should they have some serious stuff to lay on SU after the season. Syr F J. Southerland's sister Sabrina (2:03.5i) supposedly will name her future U' after the tourny (though she knows now).
Friar
 
Posts: 1021
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: Sittin' on the dock of the Bay.

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby Pego » Sun Mar 31, 2013 12:25 pm

gh wrote:In retrospect, the best tip was probably "don't p ut a Big 10 team in your final 4" :twisted:


(a rule I certainly didn't heed!)


Michigan didn't look half bad :D .
Pego
 
Posts: 10196
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: beyond help

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby mcgato » Sun Mar 31, 2013 12:39 pm

I should point out that just about everything that I said earlier in this thread turned out to be wrong. My two brackets reflect that.
mcgato
 
Posts: 1605
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: Hoboken

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby DrJay » Sun Mar 31, 2013 1:34 pm

dukehjsteve wrote:Final note... saw a hilarious shirt yesterday... entering the local pizza palace, wearing my Duke sweat shirt to fly the flag, I encountered a guy wearing a Kentucky blue sweatshirt, and emblazoned on it in large capital letters was " I STILL HATE LAETTNER." We then had a good laugh together. Gotta love it !


I can verify that is truly the sentiment, 21 years later, as my Mom is a UK alum. If they had any damn pride, they'd just shut up and act like it doesn't bother them. I think there's too much sense of entitlement among UK hoops fans, like Adolph Rupp invented the sport or something.
DrJay
 
Posts: 5481
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: Woodland Park, CO

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby Conor Dary » Sun Mar 31, 2013 3:33 pm

Oregon-Duke would have been a good game.
Conor Dary
 
Posts: 6297
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: कनोर दारी in Ronald MacDonald's Home Town, and once a Duck always a Duck.

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby dukehjsteve » Sun Mar 31, 2013 4:43 pm

I'm not all that upset by Duke's loss. Louisville had a better team and amply showed it in the second half. We had a swell year, Elite 8, 30-6. I'll settle for that.
dukehjsteve
 
Posts: 6054
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: Fishers, IN

Re: Good tips for picking NCAA tourney games

Postby DrJay » Sun Mar 31, 2013 7:06 pm

Louisville-Wichita St harkens back to the early '70s when they were both Missouri Valley Conference members.

Kevin Ware's injury certainly was grotesque. Par for the course for bambam I reckon.
DrJay
 
Posts: 5481
Joined: Sat Oct 08, 2005 4:32 am
Location: Woodland Park, CO

Next

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Baidu [Spider], Bruce Kritzler and 4 guests