A Very Bad Morning For LanceRe: A Very Bad Morning For LanceEditing grammar, fixing typos, correcting spelling . . . these are all good things. We all make mistakes of that sort, and none of us should hesitate to edit our posts when we see that what we've written is not up to the standards that we set for ourselves.
Re: A Very Bad Morning For Lance
Waht deos it mtater wehn the eye olny lokos at the frist and lsat lteter?
Re: A Very Bad Morning For LanceSteroids have not been the mainstay of the peloton, it has been more blood doping and EPO. I as sure that steroids helped for recovery, but it was my general impression that steroids were more easily detected unless the dosage was pretty modest.
Given that the cancer had been in place for a while (again, impression, not certain) but the condition had been ignored for a while) and that the main doping with Armstrong is in the 1997 to 2005 time frame, there does not seem to be the type of extended and continual usage that would lead to it 'causing' the cancer. If it was that likely for the amount of use that Armstrong had, then there would be an epidemic. Maybe it made the likelihood jump from 1% to 1.25%, but not 1% to 50%. And, given that it is more likely to get cancer a second time than the first, the very substantial and continual usage later would then been more likely to kick in a second variant.
Re: A Very Bad Morning For LanceEddie Merckx continues to bury his head in the sand.
http://www.cyclingnews.com/news/merckx- ... confession Meanwhile, Johan Bruyneel is in the crosshairs of the Belgian cycling authorities.
http://www.cyclingnews.com/news/bruynee ... estigators Does USADA have the authority to ban foreign athletes and coaches too?
Re: A Very Bad Morning For LanceThomas Dekker says that doping was a way of life at Rabobank.
http://www.cyclingnews.com/news/doping- ... mas-dekker The stories of all the riders who have talked mesh together pretty well, and that is that EPO first appeared on the scene around 1993 or 1994, and that by 1996, practically the entire peleton was using it via team doctors. It's also likely that LeMond never used it since he retired at the beginning of the EPO era.
Re: A Very Bad Morning For Lancecasting no aspersions at all on LeMond, but from where I sit, to use the name of any Tour rider (at least a successful one) at this point in conjunction with "likely never used" is close to an oxymoron.
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No, I think jazzy is right here, since he was referring to LeMond and EPO only. EPO was not really available until the late 1980s and its effects weren't really known until the early 1990s. As stated in a post yesterday, I would be surprised if LeMond didn't do some stimulants and/or amphetamines in his era, however, but that was about that was available to the cyclists prior to the 1990s.
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Been gone on vacation and missed these interviews and discussion. Bad week to be gone I guess. I disagree with the premise that because "everyone was doing it" that Lance would have won if they were all clean. I have read plenty in which this topic has been discussed by the science and medical folks who say this is likely not true. When looking at natural blood values like Hematocrit levels occurring naturally and the rate these values decline over the course of 3 weeks from what I have heard and read Armstrong was average at best. Therefore, he benefited more from the cocktail of drugs he was taking than someone else might. Someone who is more "gifted" with the naturally occurring blood levels and an ability to recover more quickly from the stresses of the race quite possibly would have been ahead. We will never know who those people were because of this so-called "level playing field" theory. Lance's performances in his first few TDF's were miserable. His performed horribly as a GC rider. Contrast that with someone like Greg Lemond, who finished 3rd in his first tour, 2nd in his second in a race he likely wins with teammate help, and then wins it in his third try. Other young cyclists in recent years have shown propensity for doing well over a 3 week race. My belief is that EPO and testosterone and other steroids made guys who traditionally never would be able to compete as GC contenders be able to do so. I am more likely to believe that Lance wins zero tours than anywhere near 7 with a CLEAN "level playing field". Last edited by odelltrclan on Sun Jan 20, 2013 8:40 am, edited 1 time in total.
Re: A Very Bad Morning For Lance
I had "liked" a T&FN link several years ago. It is a page that seems to be an excerpt from Wikipedia describing the magazine. Don't know if you put that page on or not. So all this time I never had a clue you guys had an active Facebook page until now!, and I have been a regular Facebook user.
Re: A Very Bad Morning For Lance
I remember reading somewhere regarding him and/or Andy Hampsten being at the tail end of their haydays. They described their dismays at being GC contender's to not being able to hang on to the peloton any longer in only a matter of a couple of years in the early 90's. They knew what changed and decided to bow out.
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It may be true that PED's don't benefit everyone equally but neither you, me or any of the cyclists in the peleton has any idea who benefited more and who benefited less during the EPO era. All anyone can do is offer idle and unscientific spucalation and conjecture on this topic. The only thing that we do know is that they were all breaking the same UCI rules with tha same drugs, and that's the only thing that matters when talking about a level playing field. IMO it's not surprising that someone who became the youngest world champion in history before the EPO era would win multiple Tours during it. And it's also not surprising that an athlete who weighed 80 kgs before cancer would be able to climb significantly better when he returned to the peleton weighing 70kgs.
You've conviently overlooked the fact that Lance was only 21 when he rode his first Tour. The reason that Grand Tours have a special under-25 category is that younger riders are considered to be at a physiological and psychological disadvatage when they're younger. FYI, Miguel Indurain dropped out of his first two Tours too.
Re: A Very Bad Morning For Lance
I also remember LeMond talking about a sudden change in the peleton between 1993 and 1994, which is consistent with the timeframe that Tyler Hamilton, Jonathan Vaughters, Frankie Andreu and Armstrong have alluded to regarding EPO use in the peleton.
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I have no idea what cyclists did in the 80's or early 90's, but although it didn't involve an extrinsic drug, blood doping transfusions were used in certain sports even in the 70's, and could've accomplished an end result and advantage for earlier cyclists similar to EPO, although in a much less convenient way.
Re: A Very Bad Morning For LancePeloton speeds give some indication of the differences in the degree and extent of doping in the peloton. It increased significantly from the late-1980s into 90s and beyond.
As for Armstrong, it rode mainly as a one-day rider and hence in the Tour, he did not even intend the first time or two to even finish. If you are not riding for the overall, you take it easy at various occasions (time trials, doing climbs in the grupetto). His body was much more muscular in his early years (he came from triathlon and had shoulders consistent with that); he was much lighter after cancer. He also probably did not have the type of team that could have made him a serious contender. Another thing that would have helped Armstrong win the Tour was the near-complete focus on the Tour. This extended to the racing itself (not going for wins on non-mountain stages) and construction of the team -- time trial objectives, some climbers to help and some horses to control the peloton -- and no sprinters really. I think that, if not for the hunting accident LeMond would have won five Tours, and possibly six or seven, especially if he had gotten his first a year earlier. However, he would have had a hard time winning by 1992 because of changes in the competition and the emergence of Indurain.
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Agree completely - except you should have said, "if he had gotten his first a year earlier (1985), like he deserved."
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Jan Ullrich was in a similar situation with Bjarne Riis in 1996 and some folks think Chris Froome might have won last year if he hadn't been playing domestique for Bradley Wiggins.
Re: A Very Bad Morning For LanceFor those who've never seen it, here's the Bjarne Riis confession.
http://autobus.cyclingnews.com/news.php ... nference07 Also noatble is Miguel Indurain's reaction to Riis' cofession, which was strange to say the least.
Re: A Very Bad Morning For LanceDid someone already cite this quote?
Speaker: his mom. Date: 1994 from the Selena Roberts article
Re: A Very Bad Morning For Lance
Lighten, yes. Lemond reportedly carried some buckshot pellets around inside after the accident. Though we here in Minnesota all loved him, a local joke was going around (in this big hunting state) that Greg won after the accident because he then had better ballast. .
Re: a thread for biochemistry geeks [split from Lance]Phil Liggett blames Armstrong's downfall on jealous teammates.
http://www.adelaidenow.com.au/sport/tou ... 6558531290 I wonder what Liggett's advice would have been for the folks who were subpeonaed. Even in his Oprah interview, Lance said he doesn't blame George Hincapie cooperating with the grand jury.
Re: A Very Bad Morning For LanceI love Track and Field !
I've been riding for 20 years but finally took it seriously this last year averaged 20mph for 50m and my wife loves the tour. I also just finished Hamilton's "Secret Race" There are a number parallels between what Hamilton details and what I've seen in Track & Field. What little I know is the following : -Lance Shooting PEDs during the tour *I am old enough to have dated a '76 Olympian who indicated she shot Peds to an Olympic Gold medalist during the games - Floyd Landis fails a test because it is technically possible to determine that the testosterone is synthetic * A number of athletes have failed a testosterone test. At least one Bronze medalist failed a testosterone test twice. -Hamilton talks about chemicals under the nails prior to a urine test *An Olympian told me use soap under the nails if I ever got a "DUI" -Blindness of officials *There is at least one 6th place finishers @ aTrials who should have made the Olympic team. An official didn't want to make a call. I think what is different. Track & Field everyone had an individual source. On the tour everyone used the same source. Which makes it harder to be a secret.
Re: A Very Bad Morning For LanceAnne Gripper, who helped develop the biological passport and who calls Lance a "Pathological liar" worse than (just) doping. She said that she saw nothing in Lances profile to indicated doping and she was there through 2010.
This contradicts one of USADA's not-so-well documented claims, that Lance's biological passport indicated doping with that conclusion being given a 1 in 1,000,000 chance of being wrong. Not sure that the USADA is going to make too much headway when the test's main person says 'no'.
Re: A Very Bad Morning For LanceDon Bragg weighs in: http://www.cleveland.com/livingston/ind ... _allo.html
Re: A Very Bad Morning For Lance
Funny guy. Always has been.
Re: A Very Bad Morning For LanceHere's a moral question. If you had been a young up and coming cyclist in the early 90's who had finally realized his lifetime dream of signing a big league contract to race in Europe, what would you have done if you flown across the pond for the first time only to find that the entire peleton was doped to the gills and that you were just struggling not to get dropped from day to day? And to be clear, I'm asking what do you think you would have done when you were 20 years old, not what you would do today.
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Good question. If I were 20 in 1990 and had real cycling talent and it was my life dream to be on a team in the Tour de France and found out the entire team I was asked to join was doping (and obviously getting away with it), it'd be very hard to give up my dreams and NOT dope. Doesn't make it right, but . . .
Re: A Very Bad Morning For Lance
To me it seems that the reason the fallout for Lance has been as bad as it's been is because he was such a jerk and a bully, and because he taunted the powers-that-be. I've heard a couple of ESPN talking heads say that they can somewhat understand the doping, given the nature of the sport, but his off-the-bike behavior is unacceptable. If he hadn't made so many enemies along the way, he would likely be getting more leniency both within cycling and outside of it. This is the reason why Pete Rose and Barry Bonds are treated differently than Andy Pettitte and Mark McGuire, and it's why Bjarne Riis was never punished by the UCI and got to keep his Tour win after he admitted that he was a doper. However, there is one major distinction between cycling and baseball, and that is that MLB has maintained an impartial consistency in the application of its rules, and left it to the jackals in the media to go after the ne'er-do-wells. To the chagrin of the baseball writers, no one who doped prior to the implementation of MLB's 2003 PED enforcement policy has ever been sanctioned by MLB and their records still stand without any asteriks. Conversely, all the alphabet organizations (USADA, IOC, UCI) dealing with Lance Armstrong have completely ignored their own rules and protocols (8-year statute of limitations, 2-year ban for first offense) in order to give him extra-judicial punishment, and furthermore, other organizations (ITU, IAAF) whose rules he's never broken have piled on for good measure.
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I agree that Armstrong's attitude, lack of consideration for others, and overall behavior may have had an influence on his fate in certain areas. As far as whether USADA ignored it's own rules regarding sanctions, I guess it depends on what the alphabet groups felt was credible evidence. There was evidence indicating that Armstrong covered up PED usage and was also guilty of trafficking in PEDs by providing them to others, in addition to using PEDs over an extended period of time, including during multiple competitions. According to USADA policy, violations that involve trafficking or covering up PED usage warrant more severe penalties than usage alone does, up to a lifetime ban. I'm sure this has been posted earlier, but in case people haven't already read it, below is the USADA Reasoned Decision report regarding the sanctions and the evidence against Armstrong: http://d3epuodzu3wuis.cloudfront.net/Re ... cision.pdf And from the USADA's policies on sanctions: 10.3.2 For violations of Articles 2.7 (Trafficking or Attempted Trafficking) or 2.8 (Administration or Attempted Administration of Prohibited Substance or Prohibited Method), the period of Ineligibility imposed shall be a minimum of four (4) years up to lifetime Ineligibility unless the conditions provided in Article 10.5 are met. [Comment to Article 10.3.2: Those who are involved in doping Athletes or covering up doping should be subject to sanctions which are more severe than the Athletes who test positive. Since the authority of sport organiza- tions is generally limited to Ineligibility for credentials, membership and other sport benefits, reporting Athlete Support Personnel to competent authorities is an important step in the deterrence of doping.]
Re: A Very Bad Morning For Lance
His 'righteous indignation' about being accused throughout the years and smear campaigns against his 'enemies' has made him the pariah he is today. His protestations that he stopped doping at such and such a date (in hopes of being reinstated now) should be met with very loud and raucous laughter. He has become a cartoon character, like Bluto or Snidely Whiplash.
Re: A Very Bad Morning For LanceI guess "trafficking" is somewhat subjective in this context, but I wouldn't accuse Armstrong of trafficking based on my defintion of the word, since Amrstrong's teammates have all corroborated his claim that U.S. Postal already had a PED program up and running before he ever joined the team after his return from cancer. Trafficker is a word I would use to describe folks like Eufemiano Fuentes and Michelle Ferrari. Keep in mind that USADA has already shown its willingness to engage in hyperbole and exageration when it called the U.S. Postal doping program "the most sophisticated, professionalized and successful doping program that sport has ever seen". Leaving aside East Germany and the USSR, how can USADA compare the U.S. Postal's doping program to that of Telekom, Banesto, Once, CSC and other cycling teams that it never investigated?
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While I agree with your premise that the doping system on U.S. Postal was established when he arrived there that does not change the fact that he eventually became the ringleader (allegedly) of it. So I don't feel the analogy is totally correct. If you joined a crime organization such as the mafia and eventually became the boss, are you entitled to leniency merely because you didn't start the whole operation? Lance was clearly in complete control of U.S. Postal not long after he started winning tours and had a say of who was on the team and who was not. Plenty of guys were shown the door. He became the instigator. Ferrari/ Fuentes enabled athletes access to the best medicine money could buy, but the athletes had to be brought to them. Kind of like a pimp and prostitute. Lance was pimping for Ferrari. Who is more to blame? We understand so much better now the actions of Lance toward Filipo Simeoni. I am sure there are/were others like Lance on virtually every other competitive team. But most of them remain unknown. Is he getting a raw deal? When compared with other cyclists who escaped similar treatment, yes. When compared with his actions, no.
Re: A Very Bad Morning For Lance
On his claims that he didn't dope in 2009 and 2010, I don't know what to believe. On the one hand, he's a pathological liar but on the other hand, USADA's credibility is less than pristine and their claims about his biological passport are questionable (see 26mi235's post above). But here's what we do know. Armstrong said that he rode in 2009 and 2010 under the impression that the peleton was clean. Armstrong went through a full training camp with teammates in 2009 and 2010. Armstrong would have known if his teammates were doping and his teammates would have known if he was doping. Once Armstrong showed up at races, he would have been able to figure out if the peleton was still doped the same way Greg LeMond and Andy Hampsten figured it out at the end of their careers. Furthermore, if the peleton was still doped, they would have known that he was doped, since it would have been impossible for a clean rider to finish third in the Tour if the rest of the peleton was doped. Also, presumably the testimony given to the Feds and USADA by Armstrong's former teammates included information about his activities in 2009 and 2010. If Armstrong is lying about 2009 and 2010, it should contradict this testimony and someone would be calling him out on the claims he made in his Oprah interview.
Re: A Very Bad Morning For Lance
Understood, but here's the official USADA definition of trafficking, for their violations and sanctions purposes: "Trafficking: Selling, giving, transporting, sending, delivering or distributing a Prohibited Substance or Prohibited Method (either physically or by any electronic or other means) by an Athlete, Athlete Support Personnel or any other Person subject to the jurisdiction of an Anti-Doping Organization to any third party; provided, however, this definition shall not include the actions of “bona fide” medical personnel involving a Prohibited Sub- stance used for genuine and legal therapeutic purposes or other acceptable justification, and shall not include actions involving Prohibited Substances which are not prohibited in Out-of-Competition Testing unless the circumstances as a whole demonstrate such Prohibited Substances are not intended for genuine and legal therapeutic purposes. And here are the PED offenses that can result in sanctions of up to a lifetime ban. Based on the above USADA definition of trafficking, and at least the last portion of violation 2.8, I think Armstrong was guilty of at least something that could warrant the ban he received, at least as per USADA policies: 2.7 Trafficking or Attempted Trafficking in any Prohibited Substance or Prohibited Method 2.8 Administration or Attempted administration to any Athlete In- Competition of any Prohibited Method or Prohibited Substance, or administration or Attempted administration to any Athlete Out-of- Competition of any Prohibited Method or any Prohibited Substance that is prohibited Out-of-Competition, or assisting, encouraging, aiding, abetting, covering up or any other type of complicity involving an anti-doping rule violation or any Attempted anti-doping rule violation
Re: A Very Bad Morning For Lance
I see where you're coming from, but I respectfully disagree. Yes, Armstrong became the most powerful person in the U.S. Postal organization soon after he starting winning Tours, but he was not a trafficker IMO. To me the traffickers were the people who oversaw the day-to-day administering of dope to the athletes, such as the team doctors and managers, and also the couriers. I would compare him to a football coach at a big-time football university like Alabama's Nick Saban, for example. Does Nick Saban likely have a lot of players on his team who were bought or given illegal benefits in order to entice them to sign with Alabama? Certainly. Would I accuse Nick Saban of buying players? No, the Alabama boosters and alumni are the ones who buy players, but certainly guys like Saban, Les Miles, Urban Meyers and Mack Brown know what's going on behind the scenes. The bottom line is that during the EPO era, Grand Tour GC contenders like Armstrong didn't care if their teammates doped or not, they just wanted riders who were capable of protecting them for miles on end on the flat roads and stay with them on all the big climbs in the mountains. A few days before the stage to Sestriere in the 1999 Tour de France, Armstrong pleaded with Frankie Andreu that he would need him to stay with him on the final climb and Andreu know that the only way he would be able to do that is with EPO, and the infrastructure was already in place at U.S. Postal for him to do what needed to be done. Doping wasn't the end, it was just the means to an end.
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