Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?


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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby DrJay » Sun Sep 15, 2013 10:35 am

More rain today. The northern part of the state has really taken a beating, like 500-year flood material. Not so bad here, except in the canyons on the west side of town. Looks like widespread rain right now in the Denver-Boulder area.
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby Daisy » Wed Sep 18, 2013 7:36 pm

I have a theory about global warming and why people think it's real. Go back 30, 40 years when there was much less air conditioning in the country. When you didn't have air conditioning and you left the house, it may in fact have gotten a little cooler out there, because sometimes houses become hot boxes. Especially if you're on the second or third floor of a house in the summer time and all you've got is open windows and maybe a window fan. Or you have some servant standing there fanning you with a piece of paper. When you walked outside, no big deal, it's still hot as hell. Now, 30, 40 years later, all this air conditioning, and it's a huge difference when you go outside. When you go outside now, my golly, is it hot. Oh. Global warming. It's all about the baseline you're using for comparison.
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby lonewolf » Wed Sep 18, 2013 9:16 pm

Daisy may be onto something with individual perception of relative heat but in the greater scheme of things with lots of people keeping track of temperatures all over the world, I think the only ironclad conclusion we can reach is that weather is cyclic. It gets hot in summer, cold in winter and hotter and colder some years than others.

At the risk of sounding like a broken record;

Natural catastrophic events (eg..Krakota) affect weather world wide for years or decades. Vast areas of the earth have changed from green to desert in recorded time (eg.North Africa) Seaport cities are now underwater (Alexandria) or inland in the 200,000 years since humans occupied the earth.
The earth has been warming, with periodic centuries long intermissions, for 12,000 -15,000 years since the the retreat of the last Ice Age blanketed the northern hemisphere as far south as Kansas, raising sea level 300-400 feet.
Miami and New York may be under water in a thousand or ten thousand years. Or never. Earth may experience a polar reversal next year or in a million years. Ozone layers wax and wane. Solar flares most influence weather on earth and there ain't a dang thing we can do about it.

Relax and enjoy it. Mankind will adapt.
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby jeremyp » Thu Sep 19, 2013 8:31 am

lonewolf wrote:Daisy may be onto something with individual perception of relative heat but in the greater scheme of things with lots of people keeping track of temperatures all over the world, I think the only ironclad conclusion we can reach is that weather is cyclic. It gets hot in summer, cold in winter and hotter and colder some years than others.

At the risk of sounding like a broken record;

Natural catastrophic events (eg..Krakota) affect weather world wide for years or decades. Vast areas of the earth have changed from green to desert in recorded time (eg.North Africa) Seaport cities are now underwater (Alexandria) or inland in the 200,000 years since humans occupied the earth.
The earth has been warming, with periodic centuries long intermissions, for 12,000 -15,000 years since the the retreat of the last Ice Age blanketed the northern hemisphere as far south as Kansas, raising sea level 300-400 feet.
Miami and New York may be under water in a thousand or ten thousand years. Or never. Earth may experience a polar reversal next year or in a million years. Ozone layers wax and wane. Solar flares most influence weather on earth and there ain't a dang thing we can do about it.

Relax and enjoy it. Mankind will adapt.

Spoken like a true octogenarian. What me worry?
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby lonewolf » Thu Sep 19, 2013 12:31 pm

jeremyp wrote:[Spoken like a true octogenarian. What me worry?


:) Touche. However, I come from a long line of centurnarians and refuse to fret for another twenty years. :)
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby user4 » Fri Sep 20, 2013 2:38 pm

lonewolf wrote:At the risk of sounding like a broken record;
Vast areas of the earth have changed from green to desert in recorded time (eg.North Africa) Seaport cities are now underwater (Alexandria) or inland in the 200,000 years since humans occupied the earth.
The earth has been warming, with periodic centuries long intermissions, for 12,000 -15,000 years since the the retreat of the last Ice Age blanketed the northern hemisphere as far south as Kansas, raising sea level 300-400 feet.
Miami and New York may be under water in a thousand or ten thousand years. Or never. Earth may experience a polar reversal next year or in a million years. Ozone layers wax and wane. Solar flares most influence weather on earth and there ain't a dang thing we can do about it.

Relax and enjoy it. Mankind will adapt.


As a supporter of the earth I try not to get all wrapped around the axle over things that happen on thousand or million year time scales. I save the deep thinking for 100million and billion year time scales. Just doing my share.
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby kuha » Fri Sep 20, 2013 6:28 pm

jeremyp wrote:Spoken like a true octogenarian. What me worry?


Yes, an octogenarian Alfred E. Neuman. Lonewolf is a professional in the fossil fuel industry and very nicely conveys their official point of view on the matter--"everything is just fine, please let's continue with business as usual, etc." I give way more credibility to the 97% of the scientific community (no sarcastic scare quotes needed there) who feel very differently about the issue.
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby lonewolf » Mon Sep 23, 2013 3:41 pm

97% :shock: Sounds like a third-world election result..and about as valid. Almost makes me smug about being in the elite 3%. :)

As Yogi Berra wisely said, "You can observe a lot by just looking."

I have been looking for a long time and made some observations. I am not spouting industry mantra nor do I follow the logic that Big Oil somehow profits by buying into the carbon credit scam, which defies reason that shuffling paper credits can influence world climate..

Nor do I understand the disdain for fossil fuel which made possible the Industrial Revolution and the internal combustion engine we putter around in today. Oil companies, fortunately, make a lot of money because it takes a lot of money to find more oil/gas.What people overlook is the risk and that the ROI is among the lowest in any industry.

Forty years ago, conventional wisdom Chicken Littles were bemoaning the coming Ice Age. Did not happen, did it? Short term aberrations of weather mean nothing.
I have repeatedly acknowledged that Earth has been warming, without man's influence, for 15,000 years and will continue to do so until it doesn't.
I am not trying to persuade anyone to agree with me. It makes no difference to me.The end result will be the same, whatever man does or does not do.
And none of use will live to see who was right.
Peace out.
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby tandfman » Wed Oct 02, 2013 7:11 am

Here's one guy's reaction to climate change:

http://news.yahoo.com/meteorologist-vow ... 14509.html
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby Marlow » Wed Oct 02, 2013 7:45 am

lonewolf wrote:97% :shock: Sounds like a third-world election result..and about as valid. Almost makes me smug about being in the elite 3%. :)

I think a better analogy is that of the 1500s, after the initial waves of global exploration, when 3% still insisted the world was flat and the sun 'traveled' across the sky every day . . . :twisted:
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby tandfman » Wed Oct 02, 2013 7:50 am

Marlow wrote:I think a better analogy is that of the 1500s, after the initial waves of global exploration, when 3% still insisted . . . the sun 'traveled' across the sky every day . . . :twisted:

It doesn't? It sure looks that way. :)
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby Daisy » Wed Oct 02, 2013 9:36 am

tandfman wrote:It sure looks that way. :)

Have you ever looked right into the sun? Try, you'll notice it's actually a chariot. Driving that thing but be a pretty boring job.
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby Marlow » Wed Oct 02, 2013 9:43 am

Daisy wrote:
tandfman wrote:It sure looks that way. :)

Driving that thing but be a pretty boring job.

It's outsourced to New York City taxi drivers now, hence the occasional outburst of solar flares when they get a fit of pique.
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby user4 » Wed Oct 02, 2013 11:13 am

lonewolf wrote:97% :shock: Sounds like a third-world election result..and about as valid. Almost makes me smug about being in the elite 3%. :)

As Yogi Berra wisely said, "You can observe a lot by just looking."

I have been looking for a long time and made some observations. I am not spouting industry mantra nor do I follow the logic that Big Oil somehow profits by buying into the carbon credit scam, which defies reason that shuffling paper credits can influence world climate..

Nor do I understand the disdain for fossil fuel which made possible the Industrial Revolution and the internal combustion engine we putter around in today. Oil companies, fortunately, make a lot of money because it takes a lot of money to find more oil/gas.What people overlook is the risk and that the ROI is among the lowest in any industry.

Forty years ago, conventional wisdom Chicken Littles were bemoaning the coming Ice Age. Did not happen, did it? Short term aberrations of weather mean nothing.
I have repeatedly acknowledged that Earth has been warming, without man's influence, for 15,000 years and will continue to do so until it doesn't.


If use of fossil fuels could grant the totalitarian statist more cash they would be all for more fossil fuels. But alas they have already tapped out that tax avenue and are looking for fresh meat and new scams to work. .. hence carbon credits!

By the time the climate starts to cool again the totalitarian high priesthood will be selling us ice to warm our coffee.
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby odelltrclan » Wed Oct 02, 2013 7:37 pm

http://www.co2science.org/

Links on this non-profit website to many alternative views on global warming hysteria.
Last edited by odelltrclan on Thu Oct 03, 2013 8:09 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby lonewolf » Wed Oct 02, 2013 8:20 pm

I repeat, the science is not settled in favor of human influenced global warming.
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby tandfman » Thu Oct 03, 2013 4:15 am

Even if global warming has not been human-influenced, if it's potentially harmful to life on our planet, don't we have a responsibility to engage in behavior that does influence the climate in a positive way? Perhaps we can and should do this, regardless of what may be responsible for the current situation. If we saw a large meteor or other celestial body headed for the earth on a collision course with us in a hundred years, wouldn't we try to intercept and deflect it? Why shouldn't we treat global warming as a similar threat? To me, who or what is causing global warming is almost irrelevant. If we think we can reverse it or slow it down, we probably should be working on that.

Looked at in that way, and taking the blame factor out of it, we may find it easier to modify our individual, corporate, and governmental behavior.
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby Marlow » Thu Oct 03, 2013 4:53 am

tandfman wrote:Even if global warming has not been human-influenced, if it's potentially harmful to life on our planet, don't we have a responsibility to engage in behavior that does influence the climate in a positive way?

That's been my argument all along: regardless of man's contribution to Global Warming (which IS a scientific fact; it's measurable), CO2 emissions DO exacerbate the effect, and we ARE polluting the earth at an alarming rate, so why not do something about it now?
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby Daisy » Thu Oct 03, 2013 6:48 am

Marlow wrote:CO2 emissions DO exacerbate the effect

But by how much? Enough to worry about?
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby Marlow » Thu Oct 03, 2013 7:16 am

Daisy wrote:
Marlow wrote:CO2 emissions DO exacerbate the effect

But by how much? Enough to worry about?

According to 'most' of the most recent studies, yes.
Equating it back to the "pee in the backyard pool" analogy, if one kids pees, not a big deal, when the adults do it regularly, yeah, that's a problem, even if the water hasn't turned yellow yet.
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby jeremyp » Fri Oct 11, 2013 7:17 am

Super Cyclone Phailin headed to India. Half the size of India equal to a Cat 4 Hurricane, it's going into the Bay Of Bengal. Last time such a storm hit there it caused 10,000 deaths.
http://www.weather.com/news/weather-hur ... n-20131010
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby shivfan » Sun Oct 13, 2013 12:40 am

"Indian disaster teams have begun a relief operation after Cyclone Phailin crashed into eastern areas, forcing up to one million people to flee. Officials are assessing the damage and providing food to hundreds of thousands who spent the night in shelters. The cyclone wrecked many coastal homes, uprooted trees and blocked roads in Andhra Pradesh and Orissa states. Five deaths have so far been linked to the cyclone, far fewer than were initially feared. In 1999 a cyclone killed more than 10,000 people in Orissa. But the authorities said they were better prepared this time. The BBC's Sanjoy Majumder in Berhampur, Orissa, says the authorities made massive effort to get the message out to people, many of whom were reluctant to leave their homes. He says their efforts appear to have paid off....But officials were confident that a massive loss of life had been avoided. "We were preparing for a super cyclone, but Phailin did not turn into a super cyclone," disaster official Tripti Parule told the AFP news agency. He said the evacuation was the biggest in India's history for such an event."

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-india-24510464

The last time a major hurricane hit Jamaica, only a couple of people died in a country of nearly three million. Like India, Jamaica have mastered the best way of minimising casualties against hurricanes and cyclones.

India has successfully evacuated a million people from a hurricane/cyclone zone. There are lessons here for so-called First World countries who have had difficulty minimising death tolls during a hurricane strike. The United States could learn a lot from countries like India and Jamaica in this regard. India do evacuations better than the Americans do, and Jamaicans are better at turning off public services that can kill during these storms, such as electricity, than Americans. As a result, the death tolls in countries such as India and Jamaica are much lower when hurricanes/cyclones strike than the US.

Yes, the US hardly gets hit by these superstorms, when compared to the Caribbean and South Asia, but it also stands to reason that the US would be well-advised to call in experts from countries such as India and Jamaica, because they have handled these storms much better than the Americans have, due to this experience. However, there is still this First World prejudice against countries who have dark-skinned people, because there's a reluctance to believe that they can actually master their responses to something like hurricanes and cyclones better than the most powerful country in the world....
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby jeremyp » Mon Oct 14, 2013 10:55 am

I think the problem with many folks in the way of a hurricane in the U.S. is that they rely on their modern buildings and transportation too much. "My buildings will hold up or I can get the hell out in time." In developing countries where houses are fragile and transportation spotty governments can get a mass exodus to work. Once those countries get a sizeable middle class look for them to be as stubborn as we are in the face of disaster.
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby tandfman » Sun Nov 24, 2013 8:48 pm

Is this what the Earth would look like if all the ice melted?

http://www.fabulous-pictures.com/seven- ... ce-melted/
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby Marlow » Mon Nov 25, 2013 4:24 am

tandfman wrote:Is this what the Earth would look like if all the ice melted?

Ba-bye, Florida!
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby Daisy » Mon Nov 25, 2013 7:18 am

Marlow wrote:Ba-bye, Florida!

It will still be there. And will make a beautiful coral reef. Or will the water be too acidic with all the CO2?
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby odelltrclan » Mon Nov 25, 2013 7:21 am

Marlow wrote:
tandfman wrote:Is this what the Earth would look like if all the ice melted?

Ba-bye, Florida!


No more SEC bias. I kind of like that map!
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby Pego » Mon Nov 25, 2013 7:29 am

odelltrclan wrote:
Marlow wrote:
tandfman wrote:Is this what the Earth would look like if all the ice melted?

Ba-bye, Florida!


No more SEC bias. I kind of like that map!


I guess, there is a silver lining in everything :wink: .
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby Marlow » Mon Nov 25, 2013 8:44 am

Not too late to invest in some nice future water-front property in rural Georgia, where's it's still dirt (ha!) cheap.
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby gh » Tue Dec 17, 2013 7:09 pm

the planet just had its warmest November since we started tracking such

http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/a ... ck/282450/
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby Daisy » Wed Dec 18, 2013 10:26 am

If the summer sea ice loss passes “the point of no return,” and “catastrophic Arctic methane feedbacks” kick in, we’ll be in an “instant planetary emergency.”

http://www.salon.com/2013/12/17/the_gre ... e_partner/


I suspect we're already beyond the point of no return. The key now is can we adapt? What will the new carrying capacity of the Earth be? Not much room for optimism here.
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby tandfman » Wed Dec 18, 2013 1:37 pm

A concerned group marches against global warming:

http://www.theonion.com/articles/nation ... ming,1880/

:)
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby Marlow » Wed Dec 18, 2013 3:21 pm

Daisy wrote:I suspect we're already beyond the point of no return. The key now is can we adapt? What will the new carrying capacity of the Earth be? Not much room for optimism here.

Adapt or drown. Most of Florida will be underwater in 100 years at this new accelerated rate.
Wyoming and Montana and the Dakotas looking pretty sweet right now. Tropical Canada? Sarah Palin sun-bathing on her Bridge to No-Where?
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby kuha » Wed Dec 18, 2013 8:29 pm

Marlow wrote:Wyoming and Montana and the Dakotas looking pretty sweet right now.


Ha!! :idea:
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby Daisy » Wed Dec 18, 2013 8:35 pm

kuha wrote:
Marlow wrote:Wyoming and Montana and the Dakotas looking pretty sweet right now.


Ha!! :idea:

Until the supervolcano beneath Yellowstone National Park erupts! :shock:
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby lonewolf » Wed Dec 18, 2013 9:44 pm

Che sera, Che sera, folks... just relax and enjoy it.
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby Marlow » Tue Jan 07, 2014 3:51 am

19 degrees here in Florida!
How do Canadians do it?!

Where's that Global Warming I've heard so much about??!! :P
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby Powell » Tue Jan 07, 2014 5:50 am

Marlow wrote:Where's that Global Warming I've heard so much about??!! :P


It's definitely here; 47 in Warsaw today :D
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby tandfman » Tue Jan 07, 2014 8:59 am

Today's predicted highs: New York City 11, Chicago 8, Anchorage 33.

Go figure.
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Re: Weather Acting Funny in Your Neighbourhood?

Postby JRM » Tue Jan 07, 2014 11:34 am

Marlow wrote:19 degrees here in Florida!
How do Canadians do it?!

Where's that Global Warming I've heard so much about??!! :P


You realize a cold extreme doesn't erase the latest warm extreme:

http://www.weather.com/news/science/env ... d-20131217

In fact, this kind of fluctuation isn't unexpected. Whenever you have a system in equilibrium and perturb it one way (think a spring or a pendulum), it tends to swing back the other way almost as much.
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