I'd be surprised if Lowe broke the AR... she's had major difficulties even jumping 2m lately.
When she set the current AR of 205 she'd gone 204, 201, 203, 192 in the four immediately preceding meets - for comparison, her outdoor SB this year is 200 from April. Sure, things can change very fast in the high jump!
Is the HJ apron wet? Look at all the XXX's! Looking at the Website, I see that a first-time clear of #%^$@@ing 1.79 is all it took to make the final (5 tied for 9th = 13)! Only six jumpers were clear through 1.83. I can't wait to hear what Dwight will have to say about this! >:-) Cheers, Alan Shank Woodland, CA, USA
Marlow wrote:Yeah, Ima hafta back way the EFF off my AR talk, esp. after Jesse W's near-disaster. Now I just want her on the team!!!!
Yeah, get on the team! Showery and cool on Saturday I understand. Wet track does not favor super fast run-up jumpers like Lowe. But she should make it. And then it's her and Chicherova in London. Who else? Maybe Shkolina who has improved. I wouldn't mind seeing the young Norwegian, Angelsen up there. She was fairly close at 1.99 in Helsinki today.
I did a little start list analysis of the finals field
name PR 2012 2011 Lowe 2.05 (10) 2.00 1.78 Acuff 2.01(03) 1.95 x Barrett 1.96 1.95 1.96 Christensen 1.92 1.92 1.85 Briscoe 1.90 1.90 1.88 Butts 1.87 1.87 1.83 Seidl 1.87 1.87 1.80 Barwise 1.87 1.87 1.78 Dudley 1.84 1.84 1.76 Williams 1.83 1.83 x Pressley 1.85 1.83 1.85 Frederick 1.84 1.83 1.83 Meister 1.86 1.81 1.86
Bottom line is that outside of the big three of Lowe, Barrett and Acuff, there is hardly any experience at even jumping over 1.90 (let alone 1.95) Christensens second best jump is 1.88 indoors and Briscoes's second best jump is also 1.88. Data shown is from tilastopja and is outdoor only. Mistakes are very likely, but still seems the team is most likely already set.
PS. I would love to be proven wrong and there be tons of PR's in the final.
This is shaping up sort of like the men's HJ. If Briscoe (previous PR 1.90, already cleared PR 1.92) makes 1.95 and Acuff doesn't, she'll go and Acuff won't (assuming Lowe and Barrett continue their good jumping).
I thought the women's high jump provided the best field competition of the Trials. One surprise after another, with a great, great finish.
Williams, the high school jumper, is unreal. How can a sophomore have that much poise? Her run up to the bar was accomplished in the manner of a seasoned professional. She kept her head together and had one really good attempt at the next height. Awesome effort.