I'm kinda amazed that people would pick Lars Riedel or Carolina Kluft as their lock (especially Riedel against Fazekas-Alekna).
I actually think Sanchez-Guevara are biggest locks (would go with Guevara because of the potential hurdle problem facing Sanchez). But, because he has no votes so far, because he's a 3-time champ, and because it ain't the Olympics, my vote goes to Hicham El Guerrouj in the 1500, just to put him in the picture. He belongs.
Also like Hersh's Murofushi pick.
>I'm kinda amazed that people would pick Lars
>Riedel or Carolina Kluft as their lock
>(especially Riedel against Fazekas-Alekna).
I agree re Riedel - actually, Fazekas has been the very clear no. 1 in the world since last year, and to me Riedel isn't the no. 1 favourite, let alone a lock. I have great confidence in Kluft, though. OK, I know Barber has a marginally better SB and has the home-country advantage, but Carro's competitive ability is second to none - not to mention her phenomenal talent. I agree, she's not quite as much of a lock as Guevara, but she's up there.
BTW, just so that I'm original, my choice as the lock of the meet is Robert Korzeniowski in the 50k walk.
i agree, the vault is wide open and hartwig isnt even the favorite to win, but based on the law of averages, hartwig has to win just because his championship record has been so poor. as far as bubka went, he won every worlds that he ever competed in. warmerdam was the man though, would like to see him jump against bubka with bubka on bamboo.
Guevara. She'll run a 48.6 in Paris this year and a 48.1 in Athens next year. That's right. You heard it here! Forty-Eight-One!!!! I love this woman's technique. No one is close to her right now. Peace.
Best Quartermilers Ever:
1) Marie Jose Perec
2) Marita Koch
3) Ana Guevara
>Perec over Koch and Kratochvílová? You've got to
Yes, that's correct. And that's with Koch's 47.6 and Kratochvilova's 1:53.28 half. I forgot about Kratochvilova. Would have been a 3 time Oly Champion (instead of one) if not for the boycotts. I saw Koch live at The Old Mobil Indoor meet at Madison Square Garden. What a powerful runner.
But I do prefer Perec's fluid, gazelle style over the two of them. Alright, Guevara drops down a bit (alltime). But without question she is the dominant 400m runner of this era. Peace.
Koji Murofushi would also be my choice - the best technician I've seen since Litvinov. He's only 1.22m ahead of the #2 man - Ivan Tikhon (BLR)but is an excellent competitor, and should throw at least 83m in the final to win.
With July quickly ending, I wanted to give you an update on the voting so far to the question, "Which athlete do you think has the best chance of winning a gold medal in the WC next month in Paris?"
Ana Guevara 400 8
Felix Sanchez 400H 7
Maria Mutola 800 6
Allen Johnson 110H 2
Robert Fazekas DT 2
Koji Murofushi HT 2
Carolina Kluff Hept. 1
Lars Riedel DT 1
Roman Sebrle Decath. 1
Gail Devers 100H 1
Christian Olsson TJ 1
Hicham El Guerroug 1,500 1
Robert Korzeniowski 50K Walk 1
Jeff Hartwig PV 1
Tyree Washington 400 1
Remember, voting ends August 16th. Only one athlete per vote and please include the event with the athlete's name. Reasons are extra credit.
I would have said Manuela Montebrun is a lock for the women's hammer title, but she recently picked up a minor injury. Until we know how serious that injury is, then I won't put her name down as my vote.
Also, if it weren't for the nationality issue, Yamile Aldama would be up there too, but looks like she won't be going to Paris.
I would pick Sanchez, but his is a hurdles event, so you can never be too sure of getting through the whole race without falling.
Guevara is up there too, but her last two races (in particularly her last one - 50.98) have failed to impress. However, Lorraine Fenton's 49.71 run in terrible conditions really did impress me - surely she can challenge Guevara to the extent of taking away the "lock" factor...?
It's a tough call between Murofushi and Korzeniowski. Korzeniowski is a big-time performer, yet can't match Murofushi's 2003 unbeaten record. Korzeniowski has been beaten 3 times already this year, out of his 7 outdoor races. So I'm afraid Korzeniowski can't be counted as a lock (especially with the walks lifting rule - can never guarantee getting through the whole race without being DQ'ed).
Therefore, my vote would go to Koji Murofushi - he has an unbeaten record this year, and his shortest throw of the season (82.36m) has only been bettered by two other athletes this season. As it is, he holds 6 of the 8 best throws this season, and is a clear meter ahead of his nearest rival (a fairly inconsistent Ivan Tikhon).