olorin wrote:Unfortunately, for the overall decathlon I am not very optimistic. Although relatively young (23) at this stage I cannot see him competing with the new generation of decathletes as he is simply not fast enough. The one place he must improve is his jumps. 2.00 and 7.30 are simply not good enough to compete in the highest level.
The current european champion won his title with only 1.99 and 7.15, so i would disagree. While you won't be able to challenge Eaton with those mediocre jumps, they are good enough to get you into the medals at any event.
I meant that 2.00 and 7.30 are not good enough for him (Knobel) to be competitive. Of course if you take a hybrid between Eaton's running event and Knobel's throwing events you may end up in silver even without good jumping.
Having said this note that the last European championship was weak with many of the top athletes skip it in order to prepare for the Olympic games.
Finally, as suggested by few, we are in the beginning of a new era in decathlon. There are 7-8 young decathletes (born after 1990) from various countries that are all in the low 8,000 bracket looking for a breakthrough. While few of them may be "stuck" in the low 8,000 others will make it to challenge for the silver in major competitions. Add to this the "old gourd" of Hardee, Suarez, Warner and Sintnicolaas and by the time Knobel will be ready to medal (at least 2015) 8,600 will probably won't be enough.