I hold to the theory that a woman's slowdown per 400 in an 800 should be 6 or 7 seconds.
In other words, if a woman runs 50.0, she's capable of running 1:52.0 to 1:54.0 over 800.
Not saying she WILL....just saying it's POSSIBLE!!
So you're saying Kratochvilova was a lame duck because her 400m best was 47.99 so she should have been able to run 1:48 to 1:50 over 800 while her WR is "only" 1:53?
Look, I've argued (discussed!
) this point on other threads here, and been beaten down for it.
But, hypothetically speaking, it SHOULD be possible for a PERSON--man or woman--properly trained, to adhere to my "slowdown rate theory".
The Big K wasn't an 800 specialist throughout her career, I don't think.
Wasn't she more a 200-400 person?
Given more 800 training, and several more races, maybe she COULD have improved to 1:52, or even 1:51.
Let me amend what I said before.
For MEN, the slowdown is between 5 and 7 seconds.
For WOMEN, since they're a few seconds slower in general, I'd give them a 7 to 9 second slowdown.
So, again speaking of Regina George, given more 800 training and more races, she COULD run between 1:56 and 2:00.
According to FAST Annual, she's run 800's before, her PR being a 2:09 from 2010. (Don't know if she ran any last year.)
So her 2:03 was a BIG improvement. And she's going to run an 800 at the TX Relays.
So maybe she's heading toward being an 800 person??
If so, and if this is not just a couple of 800's before returning to the 400, then yes, she COULD break 2:00, and go well under that!!