T&FN NCAA Indoor Predictions


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T&FN NCAA Indoor Predictions

Postby runnair » Thu Feb 21, 2013 9:30 am

Just received my magazine in the mail to see a list of "favorites" for the NCAA indoor meet. Tennessee listed as the men's favorite in the DMR. A typo perhaps?
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Re: T&FN NCAA Indoor Predictions

Postby 26mi235 » Thu Feb 21, 2013 10:36 am

Yes, I was trying to figure that one out -- maybe from a prior year used as a template or something?

More like Texas, Penn State, Indiana, Wisconsin, ...(does OSU have the 400/800 legs to go with 5 sub-4 milers?)
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Re: T&FN NCAA Indoor Predictions

Postby Bruce Kritzler » Thu Feb 21, 2013 11:26 am

Oklahoma, Arkansas, Villanova, Oregon...
Last edited by Bruce Kritzler on Thu Feb 21, 2013 3:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: T&FN NCAA Indoor Predictions

Postby 26mi235 » Thu Feb 21, 2013 12:57 pm

At the NCAA meet, it will depend on where they are running their top guys. It is one thing to double the 400 guy, but the 800/1200/1600 legs may run the 800, mile, 3000 and/or 5000. Thus, some teams may miss a key guy if they can use a pretty good substitute who would not beable to impact the individual events significantly.
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Re: T&FN NCAA Indoor Predictions

Postby aaronk » Thu Feb 21, 2013 6:29 pm

T&FN has Andy Bayer winning the men's mile.
Isn't Chris O'Hare entered?

They have Jordan Hasay winning the women's 3000.
After her blow-up at Millrose, I sadly dont see her winning ANYthing!!

Also, if Kim Duncan runs the 60 as well as the 200, I could see her taking both....even with Gardner in the 60.

But what about Aurieyall Scott??
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Re: T&FN NCAA Indoor Predictions

Postby Master Po » Thu Feb 21, 2013 7:07 pm

aaronk wrote:...
They have Jordan Hasay winning the women's 3000.
After her blow-up at Millrose, I sadly dont see her winning ANYthing!!
...


My crystal ball doesn't work any better than yours, but here's another way of interpreting Hasay's "blow-up" at Millrose, and her 2013 indoor season so far:
1. That 4:36 at Millrose is her 2nd fastest indoor mile. She's run several, so we do have something to compare. Her indoor mile PB is 4:33. So, in the context of her history of this event indoors, and given that she's moving up in distance, that 4:36 is not a "blow-up." Rather, merely outclassed by faster milers. Even had she run = her PB (i.e., 4:33) at Millrose, she would have been outclassed.
2. She ran this 4:36 in the process of building toward longer distances -- 10km outdoor -- as she stated earlier. Not a bad time in the context of her transition in distance.
3. Regarding that move up in distance, she has run a PB of 8:57 at 3k this winter. Granted it was on a 300m track, but it's a big step forward from her previous indoor PB of 9:13. That strongly suggests improvement, I would think.
4. She also has run 15:46 this winter. That's her first indoor 5km, so no (indoor) comparisons at this distance, but it's in the range of her better outdoor 5k times.

So, I don't know if she's going to win the 3k at NCAA, but she seems a viable candidate to suggest.
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Re: T&FN NCAA Indoor Predictions

Postby 26mi235 » Thu Feb 21, 2013 7:38 pm

aaronk wrote:T&FN has Andy Bayer winning the men's mile.
Isn't Chris O'Hare entered?


I recommend that you look at the finish of both the NCAA outdoor 1500 and the Olympic Trials 1500 and see who he has beaten [hint, he was only beaten by one guy that was not top-4 at the Olympic Games.

But what about Aurieyall Scott??


Scott won that 200 by about as much as the 6th Lane (Scott's) is faster than the 5th Lane (Duncan's).
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