az2004 wrote:her 200 race looked a bit more solid than her 400 based on the 2 videos
have her times improved since 2011
Her perfect distance is actually 300m. She hasn't improved on her PB in 2012, she ran in the 52's for the 400 and 24.0x in the 200. I think with enough competition and the right environment/training partners she should be able to improve. This is her progression thus far is:
100 Metres Performance Wind Place Date 2011 11.77 +1.9 Sudbury 03 JUN 2010 11.88 +1.0 Ottawa 07 AUG 200 Metres Performance Wind Place Date 2012 24.06 -1.9 St. Catharines 01 JUN 2011 23.43 +1.8 Ottawa 07 AUG 2010 23.84 +0.8 Toronto (TTFC) 30 JUL 400 Metres Performance Wind Place Date 2012 52.69 Windsor, CAN 26 MAY 2011 52.12 Lille 08 JUL 2010 54.15 Moncton 03 JUL
It may be premature to ask this, and maybe no one should...ever....but, if Mary should improve on her HSR's in the 1500 and one mile at Millrose, and especially if she makes a major breakthrough....say, something under 4:13 and 4:30....then we might well ask whether it would be UNFAIR for Mary Cain to run in any more HS meets, even the championship post-season affairs!!
She is so very far ahead of anyone else in the 1500-2 mile range....and if she ran them, in the 800, 1000, and 5000 events also....that it would be like Dibaba in that Boston 2 mile.
Dibaba's pacers gave up after just 1000. They couldn't handle her pace!! She lapped a couple of runners. She was HALF a track ahead of the pack at the finish!! It was like there were two races.... Dibaba against the clock....and the REAL 2 mile race!! (In THAT race, Cain finished SECOND!!)
Without Sarah Baxter and some others showing their face indoors so far, it's difficult to say what the rest of the indoor season might bring.
If no one else breaks, say, 4:42 in the one mile, or 10:00 in the two mile, or some equivalent times in the 800-1K or the 5K, I'm beginning to believe it would be unfair for Cain to be allowed to compete in HS track races this year!!
I'm talking outdoors! It would be like that 2 mile in Boston..... Cain against the clock..... and everyone else WAYYY back!!
It would be detrimental both to Mary's progress as a NATIONAL class runner, and to the possible psychological effects of girls being so far behind Cain.....despite being GREAT athletes themselves!!
Think the NY Yankees playing their Class A minor league team!!
But let's wait till we get to outdoors. Wait to see what happens in the four remaining weeks of the HS indoor season!!
BTW, I'm well aware Cain is NOT racing for her Bronxville team!! But I'm talking mainly of the post-season NATIONAL HS meets, or ANY high school ONLY races. I believe Cain would still be eligible to run in the former, if she wanted to.
Scanned the T&FN Archives a bit, and found the first Bolt cover to be the Sept issue of 2003. This gets tricky!! He was born August 21st of 1986. That issue probably went to press in late July or very early August. Meaning Bolt was THEN 16 years and 11 months and change!!
Looked for Mary Decker when she was 14 or 15, but she didn't make the cover then. (Though I think there was an article on her inside at that time!!)
Thus, Mary Cain, at 16 years and 9 months (and about one week) MIGHT be the youngest athlete EVER to make T&FN's cover!!