The Millrose race is a 600... Ajee's recent 600m AJR is faster than the other runners in the race have ever run, but her 400 PR of 54.04 from last May is slower than the 400 PRs of the other athletes in the race except for Melissa Bishop.... Montano and Moore have 400 PRs around 1.5 to 2 seconds faster than Ajee Wilson's, although their 400m PRs are from over 2 years ago... This will be an interesting race.
gh wrote:What "3-4 events" can you possibly imagine her running at Florida State? Based on times so far, she's not fast enough to run the 4x4, and she's never tried a 1500. So that leaves her soloing in the 800.
With the power of hindsight, it looks like a brilliant decision for Ms. Wilson. Having just watched her run in Stockholm, she seems to have the poise and ability of a much more seasoned athlete. While not quite receiving the adoration and idolization of another stellar junior (See Ms. Cain) she has had a truly spectacular season and stepped up her game in a major way. I don't believe their is an award for T&FN junior of the year, but if their was would she be the winner? It's a tough call, but makes the future of American Women's middle distance running that much more exciting. Congratulations Ms. Wilson on a spectacular season, not just for a junior, but for any athlete of any age. I look forward to hearing of your accomplishments for years to come.
gh wrote:Waaay bold move for somebody who didn't even make the OT final last year. My guess is she'll regret the lack of real-race experience that's about to become part of her life. Zackly when/where is she going to hone her actual racing skills?
I will add myself to that "order of crow." Even though I did not post to that effect months ago, I agreed w gh's post back then. So, congratulations to those more astute than me (though that's setting the bar rather low...). And congratulations to Ms. Wilson for her great season!
Now that she's a seasoned 19yo professional, it's time for a little retrospective analysis of her career so far. Here are selected stats for her championship record since 2009 (15yo), her SBs, and her progression. It is impressive.
2009 (15 yo) AAU JO 1st 2:07.08 SB
2010 (16 yo) USATF Jr 1st WJC 5th 2:04.18 SB
2011 (17 yo) WY Trials 1st WYC Gold 2:02.64 SB
2012 (18 yo) USATF Jr 1st USATF/OT SF WJC Gold 2:00.91 SB
2013 USATF Indoor 1st USATF 3rd WC 6th 1:58.21 SB
One striking thing in these stats, for me, is that she ran her SB (so, each year, her PB) in the biggest championship race for her of that season. This suggests to me something about her capacity to rise to the occasion and race her best in such settings. Not all athletes have this capacity, and so I hope this interpretation of her record so far is true and continues to be true for her. It sure looks like that's the case so far. (Note: I'm sure someone could argue that in 2012 the USATF/OT meet was "bigger" than WJC, as success there would have put her in the OG, but I'm not arguing that because I didn't see her as someone who was going to make the USA OG team last year in any case. That meet was good for her experience, but she wasn't, imo, a contender for the team.)
And note this progression of improvement of SBs/PBs:
Having observed her career throughout this period, I certainly have been aware of her accomplishments and her improvement, but looking at this, I think I should say that (somehow) I underestimated her, even if only a little bit. I did not imagine she would make the improvement she has made this year. I wish good health and another good season for her in 2014!
Last edited by Master Po on Sat Aug 24, 2013 12:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Not having read that much of the thread I'm guessing a lot of concern was related to the questions about a young athlete not being in an obviously structured environment and with proper guidance that many collegiate program could provide. Without these factors, the success then is put squarely upon the shoulders of the athlete (managing of their talent, work ethic, maturity, etc.) and the guidance from their coach, agent/manager. Simply based upon her early career results, Wilson appears to have a very solid environment from which she can thrive-I think it was posted recently she is attending Temple this fall with her sister?
Wow! The steadiness of her improvement, especially at these ages, is REMARKABLE! It portends (no jinx!) continued success. Count me in as one who thought she'd end up as a mid-teen phenom with no pay-off later. Big fan NOW!!!
I think that the last interval, with its big jump, reflects 'going pro' and devoting full time and getting professional coaching and all the rest. Of course, the other component is that she is running on faster tracks, in general.
While the US commentators rarely do or say anything we hard core fans like I must give props to (Masback I think) who pointed out that Cains amazing season had almost completely taken up the spotlight and that Wilson deserved some props for what she had done this year. In this case I must strongly concur. Wilson has had an amazing season, and it would be really great to have both her and Montano competing at a high level for many more years.
^^ Agree. And would add Martinez (at this distance & 1500). Also, among USA Jrs in this event, there is Amy Weissenbach -- same age as Wilson -- she ran an a-t top 10 USA jr 800 this year, which in most other years would have garnered her some attention here.
One other note on Wilson: If I have updated correctly for myself the USA a-t Jr list at 800m, Wilson has in addition to the USA Jr record, a total of 6 of the top 10 performances on that a-t list. Add to that Cain's & Weissenbach's outstanding 800 PBs this year, and only two of the a-t top 10 USA Jrs on the top 10 performance list are from the "old days" -- Kim Gallagher's time from 1982, & Kathy Weston's time from 1976.