If it is Gods willing which athletes will we see in Rio ?


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Re: If it is Gods willing which athletes will we see in Rio

Postby berkeley » Mon Sep 17, 2012 7:35 pm

iain wrote:
berkeley wrote:
iain wrote:Yohan Blake
Kirani James
Kaliese Spencer
Perri Shakes-Drayton
Francine Niyonsaba
Mutaz Essa Barshim
Valerie Adams
Christian Taylor
Lawrence Okoye
Holly Bleadsedale

Do I detect a hint of Brit-bias ? PSD, Okoye and Bleasdale are definitely exciting prospects and I would not be surprised to see any of them on the podium (though Shakes-Drayton would have to share it with Spencer), but I wouldn't put any of them in the 10 most likely. In particular, PSD took her game up this year with a home Olympics, but I don't see her improving that much more.

I think you do :L I disagree about PSD, her hurdling technique is god awful and there is lots of room for improvement.

She's certainly doing the right thing, IMO, hitching her wagon to John Smith's crew.
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Re: If it is Gods willing which athletes will we see in Rio

Postby gh » Mon Sep 17, 2012 8:35 pm

ATK wrote:
Fortius19 wrote:Lots of similar picks so far, but I just don't see C. Taylor in the TJ. Maybe because I remember how Tamagho seemed poised to rule for years. And then didn't.

But Tamgho hasn't even done much besides won world indoors. Taylor has already won outdoor worlds and the Olympics


And Taylor didn't even turn 22 until the week before the Trials started. He's still just learning the event. (Having said that, I think Claye has more upside. He's almost exactly a year younger than Taylor. As in, he was only 20 when he won the World Indoor in March.
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Re: If it is Gods willing which athletes will we see in Rio

Postby tandfman » Tue Sep 18, 2012 5:43 am

I saw a report yesterday that said that Tamgho was planning a return to competition. If he's healthy, you can't count him out of the mix. He can be scary good.
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Re: If it is Gods willing which athletes will we see in Rio

Postby 18.99s » Wed Sep 19, 2012 7:11 am

My prediction:

Yohan Blake
Valerie Adams
Carmelita Jeter
Georganne Moline
Blanka Vlasic (yes, she'll be back!)
Allyson Felix
Ashton Eaton
SAFP
Javier Culson
Kirani James
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Re: If it is Gods willing which athletes will we see in Rio

Postby nmzoo » Wed Sep 19, 2012 8:04 am

I can tell you that based on recent history (since 2000) of olympic-to-olympic qualifying, only about 26.5% of 2012 team members will even qualify for 2016, and of the medalists who requalify, less than half of them will medal again,
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Re: If it is Gods willing which athletes will we see in Rio

Postby Olli » Thu Sep 20, 2012 6:47 am

Has nobody mentioned Keshorn Walcott? He is young enough to be the first to get five consecutive golds in a single event!! (If this prediction proves right in 2028, don't forget to give me credit:-)
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Re: If it is Gods willing which athletes will we see in Rio

Postby 18.99s » Thu Sep 20, 2012 8:58 am

Olli wrote:Has nobody mentioned Keshorn Walcott? He is young enough to be the first to get five consecutive golds in a single event!! (If this prediction proves right in 2028, don't forget to give me credit:-)

I thought about him, but took him off my short list after looking up some facts and figures:

1. He's never thrown beyond 85m.
2. The last time Olympic gold was won with less than 85m was 1988.
3. His winning throw in London (also his SB and PB) would not have medaled (any color medial) in 1996-2008.
4. There are 11 men with longer throws than him in 2012.

Of course, performing on the day is what counts, and when it counted he beat those 11 guys who had better SBs than him, so he deserves the gold. But when comparing him to the competition (not just in the javelin, but others "competing" to be in my top 10 list) I couldn't put him my top 10.
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Re: If it is Gods willing which athletes will we see in Rio

Postby Olli » Thu Sep 20, 2012 11:37 am

Yes, but given his age Walcott is quite promising. I think his throw is second best in the all-time list of 19-year-olds. Hence he might be one of those young surprise winners that later become steadily successful – like Thorkildsen in Athens, Udo Beyer in Montreal, Bubka in Helsinki WC 1983, etc. Of course he might also vanish from the scene as quickly as he appeared there.
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Re: If it is Gods willing which athletes will we see in Rio

Postby bushop » Thu Sep 27, 2012 6:03 pm

A third goal, which he has already talked about, is to retain the Olympic title in four years' time: "No question, of course Rio is a goal," asserts Harting who will be 28 next month.
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Re: If it is Gods willing which athletes will we see in Rio

Postby Powell » Fri Sep 28, 2012 5:07 am

Olli wrote:Yes, but given his age Walcott is quite promising. I think his throw is second best in the all-time list of 19-year-olds. Hence he might be one of those young surprise winners that later become steadily successful – like Thorkildsen in Athens, Udo Beyer in Montreal, Bubka in Helsinki WC 1983, etc.


Or he could be another Krymarenko or Patoulidou... The point is, he doesn't have enough track record to be in the 'most likely' category.
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Re: If it is Gods willing which athletes will we see in Rio

Postby GDAWG » Fri Sep 28, 2012 8:29 am

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Re: If it is Gods willing which athletes will we see in Rio

Postby Olli » Fri Sep 28, 2012 10:24 pm

GDAWG wrote:It probably won't be Margus Hunt:

http://www.smudailycampus.com/sports/hu ... GXPx03AeKh


Oh my, will this talent be lost to some freakish provincial ball game they confusingly call "football"?
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