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¶2012 OG: w400–Sanya Richards-Ross (US) 49.55

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Re: 2012 OG: w400–Krivoshapka (Rus) leads semis at 49.81

Postby ldnbloke » Sun Aug 05, 2012 1:56 am

Hoping for a super rainy evening session especially during the 400 / the games are in the UK after all :wink:
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Re: 2012 OG: w400–Krivoshapka (Rus) leads semis at 49.81

Postby ATK » Sun Aug 05, 2012 5:08 am

AKR wrote:Was SRR slowing down voluntarily towards the end or running out of steam? I was very nervous watching her go out like Krivoshpka in the semis...I hope she has plenty left in the tank coz she will need it! If she does, a sub 49 win is very likely from her

Not sure what race you were watching, but she did nothing similar to Krivoshpka. Sanya followed her Typical race pattern for going out hard the first 100m, then relaxing the back straight and turning it on again on the curve.

She literally jogged the last 85 meters, then pushed a little to the line because CO was gaining on her to try and get the win.
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Re: 2012 OG: w400–Krivoshapka (Rus) leads semis at 49.81

Postby Speedster » Sun Aug 05, 2012 5:38 am

Following her second place semi finish, lane eight with McCorory outside is the best case scenario for TBO to be in with a chance. I think McCorory will go out hard and give TBO. Something quick to work off.
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Re: 2012 OG: w400–Krivoshapka (Rus) leads semis at 49.81

Postby t_monk » Sun Aug 05, 2012 5:57 am

Trotter.... perfect lane draw for her! :shock: She can use the field in front of her as rabbits and try to stay in contact the whole race in hopes of running down the competition with her fast finishing kick. She has LITERALLY no excuse for leaving it too late this race.

Krivoshopka must be thanking the sprint Gods for being inside SRR in this race. If I were her I would just run up on SRR and just maintain with her and then put on the hammer coming home to hold on to whatever lead that she would have accumulated by running up on her within the first 200 or so. If anyone can beat SRR based on SB's it would be her and all she needs to do is use lane 5 to her advantage...

SRR is the pick of this field. She has the best series of races leading up to the finals with the most conservative runs. This race truly is hers for the taking. Outside Krivoshopka running a 49.1x or below, if SRR finishes this race healthy and loses this... >_> She just needs to do what she has been doing for most of the season and she is good as golden. I think she'll be running near to 2009 WC time which would be round 49.00 flat.

Montsho will have SRR breathing down her neck the whole time and with the way SRR runs she will be pass Montsho or even with Montsho at the top of the backstretch. How Montsho reacts here will be important, she needs to try get away from SRR at this point and prays that SRR doesn't break her.

TBO.... In my opinion has the worse lane draw out of all the major contenders females in this field. She won't be seeing any of her major contenders and with her tendency to go out slow (even when she is going out fast) she still leaves a lot in the end. I think she has a far greater chance of repeating this mistake in lane 8 with no one to key off of except McCorory.

Williams-Mills is also in a prime position if she doesn't let being in lane 2 get to her.

McCorory just needs to just run.... Get out and stay out...
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Re: 2012 OG: w400–Krivoshapka (Rus) leads semis at 49.81

Postby EPelle » Sun Aug 05, 2012 10:00 am

Olympic 400m finals best marks for place:
G-48,25| S-48,63| B-49,10| 4-49,28| 5-49,55| 6-49,77| 7-50,12| 8-50,65.
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Re: 2012 OG: w400–Krivoshapka (Rus) leads semis at 49.81

Postby Daisy » Sun Aug 05, 2012 10:04 am

t_monk wrote:TBO.... In my opinion has the worse lane draw out of all the major contenders females in this field. She won't be seeing any of her major contenders and with her tendency to go out slow (even when she is going out fast) she still leaves a lot in the end. I think she has a far greater chance of repeating this mistake in lane 8 with no one to key off of except McCorory.

Great analysis t monk!! McCorory might be enough for TBO. At least she'll know if she's walking.
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Re: 2012 OG: w400–Krivoshapka (Rus) leads semis at 49.81

Postby ATK » Sun Aug 05, 2012 10:23 am

t_monk wrote:Krivoshopka must be thanking the sprint Gods for being inside SRR in this race. If I were her I would just run up on SRR and just maintain with her and then put on the hammer coming home to hold on to whatever lead that she would have accumulated by running up on her within the first 200 or so. If anyone can beat SRR based on SB's it would be her and all she needs to do is use lane 5 to her advantage...

SRR is the pick of this field. She has the best series of races leading up to the finals with the most conservative runs. This race truly is hers for the taking. Outside Krivoshopka running a 49.1x or below, if SRR finishes this race healthy and loses this... >_> She just needs to do what she has been doing for most of the season and she is good as golden. I think she'll be running near to 2009 WC time which would be round 49.00 flat.

Montsho will have SRR breathing down her neck the whole time and with the way SRR runs she will be pass Montsho or even with Montsho at the top of the backstretch. How Montsho reacts here will be important, she needs to try get away from SRR at this point and prays that SRR doesn't break her.

TBO.... In my opinion has the worse lane draw out of all the major contenders females in this field. She won't be seeing any of her major contenders and with her tendency to go out slow (even when she is going out fast) she still leaves a lot in the end. I think she has a far greater chance of repeating this mistake in lane 8 with no one to key off of except McCorory.


I like your analysis of these 4 athletes, and it seems kind of like a Domino effect with SRR being the last one to fall, aka winning.

Montsho will most likely go out hard like she usually does. SRR will go out with her until 100m, when she will relax. Like you said Montsho might respond down the back straight, which would be wrong because she will likely not have enough strength in the last 100.

Krivoshopka will probably still trail SRR by 100, but will most likely go right past her after that and probably go with or past Monsho, considering her hard prelim and semis run, she will almost certainly die. If she almost got run down by Trotter and NWM, she will easily get run down by Montsho, CO, and SRR.

CO will be way back, and she will probably be thinking about being patient, and may be overly patient, and way farther out of it than she would want. But she will be strong down the straight. I definitely down played her throughout the season, but I liked her comfortable semis run.

This leaves SRR, she will be behind at 200 to go but with 150 left she will be the strongest and most likely run everyone down since she didn't go out hard the first 200, and has the most energy saved through the rounds.

I think SRR-Monsho-CO will be the medals with Sanya setting an AR. but I think the silver and bronze are more wide open for anyone in the field.(except Whyte, who I don't think is in the class of the other 7 ladies).
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Re: 2012 OG: w400–Krivoshapka (Rus) leads semis at 49.81

Postby Weights&Shoes » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:05 pm

Richards
Montsho
Chrissy O as my picks.
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Re: 2012 OG: w400–Krivoshapka (Rus) leads semis at 49.81

Postby croflash » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:06 pm

I say SRR takes the gold in 48.88.
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Re: 2012 OG: w400–Krivoshapka (Rus) leads semis at 49.81

Postby ATK » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:07 pm

Weights&Shoes wrote:Richards
Montsho
Chrissy O as my picks.

:D


SRR in a new AR.
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Re: 2012 OG: w400–Krivoshapka (Rus) leads semis at 49.81

Postby Grasshopper » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:12 pm

That was surpisingly close!
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Re: 2012 OG: w400–Krivoshapka (Rus) leads semis at 49.81

Postby EPelle » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:12 pm

Stunning race, but a 49,56 for Richards-Ross. Ohuruogu made a valiant effort.
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Re: 2012 OG: w400–Krivoshapka (Rus) leads semis at 49.81

Postby Weights&Shoes » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:12 pm

Sanya FINALLY! OMG
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Re: 2012 OG: w400–Krivoshapka (Rus) leads semis at 49.81

Postby ATK » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:12 pm

WOW! What a run down the last 100m.
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Re: 2012 OG: w400–Krivoshapka (Rus) leads semis at 49.81

Postby CookyMonzta » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:13 pm

WHEW! SANYA! DAYUM! DON'T SCARE US LIKE THAT AGAIN!

BIG UP, BIG O!
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Re: 2012 OG: w400–Krivoshapka (Rus) leads semis at 49.81

Postby Grasshopper » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:13 pm

Full credit to CO for truly being a championship performer.
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Re: 2012 OG: w400–Krivoshapka (Rus) leads semis at 49.81

Postby Flumpy » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:13 pm

OH YE OF LITTLE FAITH!!!

TBO GONNA GETCHA!!! :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:
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Re: ¶2012 OG: w400–Sanya Richards-Ross (US) 49.55

Postby ATK » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:14 pm

Dee Dee Trotter Gets the Bronze!
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Re: ¶2012 OG: w400–Sanya Richards-Ross (US) 49.55

Postby croflash » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:14 pm

Yes!
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Re: 2012 OG: w400–Krivoshapka (Rus) leads semis at 49.81

Postby t_monk » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:15 pm

Congrats to SRR....

More so congrats for Trotter!!!!!

TBO you left it too late again.... but congrats to you!

The time was underwhelming I think, but one could care less.... A medal is a medal!
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Re: ¶2012 OG: w400–Sanya Richards-Ross (US) 49.55

Postby j-a-m » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:16 pm

ATK wrote:Dee Dee Trotter Gets the Bronze!

Great run by Trotter
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Re: 2012 OG: w400–Krivoshapka (Rus) leads semis at 49.81

Postby EPelle » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:16 pm

Grasshopper wrote:Full credit to CO for truly being a championship performer.

An adjustment from 280-300m and she'd be in closer contention to Richards-Ross/Krivoshapka/Trotter. I believe she would have earned gold.
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Re: ¶2012 OG: w400–Sanya Richards-Ross (US) 49.55

Postby Gabriella » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:16 pm

Oh if only TBO had made her move a little earlier! She nearly nabbed SRR, and guess what, TBO still has a better Olympic medal haul... :D
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Re: ¶2012 OG: w400–Sanya Richards-Ross (US) 49.55

Postby Weights&Shoes » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:17 pm

TRACK DADDY!
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Re: ¶2012 OG: w400–Sanya Richards-Ross (US) 49.55

Postby guru » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:17 pm

ATK wrote:Dee Dee Trotter Gets the Bronze!



I thought she was going to steal it. Best personal effort in the race.
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Re: ¶2012 OG: w400–Sanya Richards-Ross (US) 49.55

Postby jeremyp » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:17 pm

Sanya how to give us a heart attack? She went "walkabouts" in the 3d 100 and almost gave it away. Clyde must have been having a Hart attack!
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Re: ¶2012 OG: w400–Sanya Richards-Ross (US) 49.55

Postby MightyBurner » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:18 pm

Sanya Richards has three gold medals.. I'm pretty sure that Ohuruogu has one.
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Re: 2012 OG: w400–Krivoshapka (Rus) leads semis at 49.81

Postby j-a-m » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:18 pm

Grasshopper wrote:That was surpisingly close!

Yeah, closer than expected.
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Re: ¶2012 OG: w400–Sanya Richards-Ross (US) 49.55

Postby ATK » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:18 pm

I think Trotter is the MAJOR victory of this race.


And again with Krivoshapka and the Russians, under performing....
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Re: ¶2012 OG: w400–Sanya Richards-Ross (US) 49.55

Postby tm71 » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:18 pm

For those that called Sanya a choker now eat some
Krivodhspka will be a great rabbit for the 800 on day. So much fir all
The predictions for sub 49 etc
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Re: ¶2012 OG: w400–Sanya Richards-Ross (US) 49.55

Postby guru » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:18 pm

Gabriella wrote: TBO still has a better Olympic medal haul... :D



Forgetting relays, are we? 8-)
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Re: ¶2012 OG: w400–Sanya Richards-Ross (US) 49.55

Postby EPelle » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:19 pm

Montsho had admitted this week-end to being very nervous; she didn't seem to be composed as recent as yesterday. Her result this evening confirmed that.
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Re: ¶2012 OG: w400–Sanya Richards-Ross (US) 49.55

Postby GDAWG » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:19 pm

Awesome for both Sanya and DeeDee. That's twice this year that Trotter has stepped it up when it mattered the most.
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Re: ¶2012 OG: w400–Sanya Richards-Ross (US) 49.55

Postby TrakFan » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:19 pm

jeremyp wrote:Sanya how to give us a heart attack? She went "walkabouts" in the 3d 100 and almost gave it away. Clyde must have been having a Hart attack!


:lol:
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Re: ¶2012 OG: w400–Sanya Richards-Ross (US) 49.55

Postby j-a-m » Sun Aug 05, 2012 12:19 pm

guru wrote:
ATK wrote:Dee Dee Trotter Gets the Bronze!

I thought she was going to steal it. Best personal effort in the race.

Agreed.
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