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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby Gabriella » Thu Mar 22, 2012 3:08 am

The GBR women's team definitely have a shot at a medal, but at this stage one assumes the USA will win. Russia haven't beaten the USA at a Worlds or Olympics since 1999 (other than 2003 when the US were DQ'ed in the heats) and now they have Felix in the team, she's made a huge difference in the USA's fortunes. Russia may have been close in 2008 but they just don't seem to have the same grit and too many of their runners go off either too tentatively or completely the oppositie; blast out and die.

If...and it's a big if...we had CO and Nicola Sanders at their best, then with the ever improving Shakes-Drayton and now Shanna Cox, we have the possibility of 4 really good legs, rather than 1 or 2 good legs and the rest mediocre. But we will have to be at our best to challenge Jamaica and Russia (like in 2007) and to even think about challenging the USA we'd need one of their women to mess up. I still think our running order is unsure; it worked in Istanbul but should that be our order in London? At her very best, Nicola Sanders is as good as anyone on that last leg, but would we prefer her on leg 2? I'm still unsure of which is the best order.

On CO's effort, the telling thing was her Channel 4 interview, where she said she wanted to get/keep us in third, but then thought she'd have a go at taking the Russian for 2nd, then decided she should try and go for the US runner too...this just underlines her lack of effort previously, her settling for lesser things and her habit of non committing in the early part of races. If she took her Istanbul attitude to every race I'm sure we'd see a sub 50 CO again and some good relay legs. Hopefully we'll now see the real CO.
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby jjimbojames » Thu Mar 22, 2012 3:33 am

If I'm honest, I expected a bit more from Shana in the 4x400m - I know she was tired, but thought she should have been a bit closer to the front. Unless she improves a great deal, Lee McConnell still has a chance to be on that final team, if she can at least replicate her 51.01 from last year.

My hope is that Shana gets a chance to run one of the middle/anchor legs at some point (e.g. Europa Cup etc) to see what she's like - she could well be a relay beast (some college observers on here might know...?!?), that's best served in battle, rather than lanes.
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby mump boy » Thu Mar 22, 2012 3:30 pm

jjimbojames wrote:If I'm honest, I expected a bit more from Shana in the 4x400m - I know she was tired, but thought she should have been a bit closer to the front. Unless she improves a great deal, Lee McConnell still has a chance to be on that final team, if she can at least replicate her 51.01 from last year.

My hope is that Shana gets a chance to run one of the middle/anchor legs at some point (e.g. Europa Cup etc) to see what she's like - she could well be a relay beast (some college observers on here might know...?!?), that's best served in battle, rather than lanes.


People should NEVER underestimate Lee she is our most reliable relay runner and always runs to her best but it will depend on what form she's in as to whether she gets to run in the final. , Shana has a relay best of 50.45 from 08 which is half a second slower than Lee at her best.
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby dunedine » Thu Mar 22, 2012 4:20 pm

A good thing is that Britain look to have gained a solid 'bench' behind the first-choice quartet and can afford to rest one or two of the regulars in the heats in London without risking too much. I think Nadine Okyere could dip well inside 52 secs to make a good 'sub' and Marilyn Okoro can be available too.

Nicola Sanders didn't do any serious speedwork and came into the indoor season simply to break her winter training and get a measure of her preparations so there should be a lot more to come in this quarter. She's already off to LA for warm-weather training by the way along with a few other Brits.

My own best formation and order would be Ohuruogu-Cox-Shakes Drayton-Sanders if all four are fit and firing on all cylinders. USA are definitely the favourites but I reckon Britain can come in with a shout.
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby dunedine » Mon Mar 26, 2012 3:22 am

Katarina Johnson-Thompson scored a superb UK U20 record of 4526pts in the pentathlon which was narrowly short of Karolina Kluft's indoor WJR of 4535 and emerges as a genuine contender for a place on the Olympic team. Her 1.88m in the high jump was the highlight, I think, in a card that contained four PBs out of five disciplines - not bad!

A little mention for very young, having not turned 15 yet, Morgan Lake who set 3953pts in the same competition in Cardiff.

Britain look set to be represented for the first time after years in the men's 50km race walking, an event where they have won three Olympic golds between 1932-1960, as Dominic King set a B standard of 4h06:34 in Dudince on Saturday. Funnily, it's not even a family best as his brother walked 4h04:49 four years ago!
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby mump boy » Mon Mar 26, 2012 5:48 am

dunedine wrote:Katarina Johnson-Thompson scored a superb UK U20 record of 4526pts in the pentathlon which was narrowly short of Karolina Kluft's indoor WJR of 4535 and emerges as a genuine contender for a place on the Olympic team. Her 1.88m in the high jump was the highlight, I think, in a card that contained four PBs out of five disciplines - not bad!

A little mention for very young, having not turned 15 yet, Morgan Lake who set 3953pts in the same competition in Cardiff.

Britain look set to be represented for the first time after years in the men's 50km race walking, an event where they have won three Olympic golds between 1932-1960, as Dominic King set a B standard of 4h06:34 in Dudince on Saturday. Funnily, it's not even a family best as his brother walked 4h04:49 four years ago!


Her HJ is amazing, Hurdles and Long Jump, 200m good, JT ok 800 poor and SP very weak.

Her current PB's total 6150 (which is in line with the scores of athletes with similar pentathlon pb's) and while we can't expect all pb's in an actual Hep these indoor scores show she is improving in all events so we can expect more in the summer. For example 8.48 is worth 30 points more than her 13.90 outdoor best and she has run 2 secs faster indoors over 800m than she did last year outdoors. So there is no reason why we can't expect 6150 at least :D
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby Jon » Mon Mar 26, 2012 11:51 am

Great to see KJT make another big step forward (lots of her earlier progress was covered here). Had she equalled her long jump PB, she'd have smashed Kluft's record with 4576, but I guess PBs in the other four events is not too shabby!

Her SP is improving and not so bad when compared to the likes of Ennis at the same age. In fact, she's quite a lot better than Ennis was. Here's their comparative PBs at the same age (i.e. at end of indoor season during final year as a junior):
Code: Select all
Event....Ennis......KJT
200......24.23......24.25
800......2:17.34....2:17.24i
60H......8.43.......8.48
100H.....13.57......13.90
HJ.......1.83.......1.88
LJ.......5.64i......6.44
SP.......11.43i.....11.68i
JT.......28.04......37.88
Pen......4089.......4526
Hep......5542.......5787


The only edge Ennis had at the same age was in the 100H, but that's no surprise because Ennis is one of the best ever heptathletes over the hurdles. Given KJT is running 8.48 as a junior, I reckon she could be a 13.1/13.2 type hurdler when she reaches her peak as a senior. In the 200m, 800m and SP, Ennis and KJT are pretty much equal. They're all solid events for Ennis now, so if KJT progresses in the same way then she'll be fine in those events. And in all other events KJT is quite a lot better, so I'm not too worried about any of her weaknesses, because there's plenty of scope and she is still improving.

When KJT won the World Youths, I thought a lot of her success was down to being an early developer (especially as she's so tall) and that her progress after that may be very gradual, but her big improvement last weekend shows that there's still a lot of untapped potential. If she can benefit from the same smart coaching that Ennis has had, KJT will hopefully continue to build in strength, speed and technique across all events.

I also think her experience at last year's European Juniors (one of the best ever junior heptathlon competitions with a few of them going 6000+, and KJT finishing sixth) has given her a lot of motivation for this year. I reckon she's on course to score somewhere between 6100-6200 outdoors - anywhere closer to the latter figure could see her make the Olympic team, and she's said that that's one of her goals for this summer.
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby mump boy » Mon Mar 26, 2012 11:58 am

Jon wrote:Great to see KJT make another big step forward (lots of her earlier progress was covered here). Had she equalled her long jump PB, she'd have smashed Kluft's record with 4576, but I guess PBs in the other four events is not too shabby!

Her SP is improving and not so bad when compared to the likes of Ennis at the same age. In fact, she's quite a lot better than Ennis was. Here's their comparative PBs at the same age (i.e. at end of indoor season during final year as a junior):
Code: Select all
Event....Ennis......KJT
200......24.23......24.25
800......2:17.34....2:17.24i
60H......8.43.......8.48
100H.....13.57......13.90
HJ.......1.83.......1.88
LJ.......5.64i......6.44
SP.......11.43i.....11.68i
JT.......28.04......37.88
Pen......4089.......4526
Hep......5542.......5787


The only edge Ennis had at the same age was in the 100H, but that's no surprise because Ennis is one of the best ever heptathletes over the hurdles. Given KJT is running 8.48 as a junior, I reckon she could be a 13.1/13.2 type hurdler when she reaches her peak as a senior. In the 200m, 800m and SP, Ennis and KJT are pretty much equal. They're all solid events for Ennis now, so if KJT progresses in the same way then she'll be fine in those events. And in all other events KJT is quite a lot better, so I'm not too worried about any of her weaknesses, because there's plenty of scope and she is still improving.

When KJT won the World Youths, I thought a lot of her success was down to being an early developer (especially as she's so tall) and that her progress after that may be very gradual, but her big improvement last weekend shows that there's still a lot of untapped potential. If she can benefit from the same smart coaching that Ennis has had, KJT will hopefully continue to build in strength, speed and technique across all events.

I also think her experience at last year's European Juniors (one of the best ever junior heptathlon competitions with a few of them going 6000+, and KJT finishing sixth) has given her a lot of motivation for this year. I reckon she's on course to score somewhere between 6100-6200 outdoors - anywhere closer to the latter figure could see her make the Olympic team, and she's said that that's one of her goals for this summer.


those are very interesting comparisons and puts KJT amazing achievements in perspective :D
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby dunedine » Mon Mar 26, 2012 1:34 pm

In my view, Katarina will score over 6200pts this summer all things equal and opens up at 25 Multistars at Desenzano in about six weeks from now, where Kelly Sotherton is also down to compete as well. That is essentially a first and intriguing head-to-head between the trio that will be vying for the two places left alongside Jessica Ennis in London, the third being Louise Hazell.
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby mump boy » Mon Mar 26, 2012 11:54 pm

dunedine wrote:In my view, Katarina will score over 6200pts this summer all things equal and opens up at 25 Multistars at Desenzano in about six weeks from now, where Kelly Sotherton is also down to compete as well. That is essentially a first and intriguing head-to-head between the trio that will be vying for the two places left alongside Jessica Ennis in London, the third being Louise Hazell.


Oh shit, i'd forgotten all about Kelly !!

Even doing a conservative estimate on Kelly's score it looks like it might be Louise who is fighting for her place against KJT and to be honest i'd rather louise made it :-(
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby Gabriella » Wed Mar 28, 2012 4:39 am

Some great marks from KJT. Her jumps are outstanding and among the better marks the elite senior women are achieving. As we have come to expect with British multi eventers of late, her throws are a little down on what some of her competitors can do, so here’s hoping she continues to improve.

It’s funny because if you look down the heptathlon medalists at world junior level since 98, only half of the actual champions have been successful ( Kluft and Chernova) while the majority of all medalists haven’t. Often the successful juniors to progress as seniors have finished further down the junior rankings and didn’t get junior medals. Ennis is a good example of this as she finished 8th at the World Juniors in 2004. Of the names above her then, some have been successful (Nana Djimou, Machtig) but obviously not to Jess’s level.

Laura Ikauniece, who was second behind KJT at the World Youths in 2009 went on to finish 6th at the World juniors in 2010 but has improved her PB to 6063. It would have been great if KJT hadn’t been injured in 2010 and we could have seen her against Schippers and Gambetta. As we know Schippers concentrated on sprinting in 2011 but has declared the heptathlon as her priority event still, while Gambetta went on to PB in 2011 with 6108. They each have their own strengths, Schippers is the sprinter, Gambetta is the thrower and KJT the jumper! Perhaps it will be Schippers, Gambetta and KJT that will dominate the event in the future?

I cannot wait to see how Sotherton does in Italy. She looked very powerful in the Istanbul commentary box and has obviously put on the upper body muscle she lost when doing the 400. She said she has focussed more on technique now she is older, so we’ll see soon how that’s gone. She also said she thought she was ‘up there’ with the women in Istanbul. I would think not and suggest that’s typical Kelly mouthing off. She’d need to be at her very best to even finish top 6, and I think she will struggle to break 6300*. Will it even be Kelly to be the one to miss out on selection? KJT will probably out-jump her, so Kelly will need to rely on her running and SP to compensate. But Sotherton has the experience and I think she really wants this, so as long as she gets the qualifying mark she should be in.

* 13.50, 1.80, 13.80, 23.80, 6.30, 33.oo, 2:10 adds up to 6251
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby bushop » Wed Mar 28, 2012 3:18 pm

Charles van Commenee: Plastic Brits is offensive . . . there’s no such thing
Mihir Bose 27 March 2012
"First of all, that is not a word I would use. I find it offensive,” van Commenee says. “In my eyes, there is no such thing as a ‘plastic Brit’. They don’t exist. “You’re British or you’re not. Sport in general and the Olympics in particular is about bringing people together. That’s how I look at it, so I’m astonished more than anything else.”

London 2012 Olympics: Turks and Caicos sprint sensation Delano Williams becomes latest Team GB recruit
Simon Hart 03 Apr 2012
"Williams’ situation is identical to that of Shara Proctor, the world indoor long jump bronze medallist, who switched allegiance to Britain from Anguilla – another dependent territory that is not permitted to send its own team to the Olympics."
Last edited by bushop on Tue Apr 03, 2012 7:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby Daisy » Wed Mar 28, 2012 3:22 pm

bushop wrote:so I’m astonished more than anything else.”

Astonished by how mud raking the tabloids are? I'd say its par for the course, unfortunately.
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby mump boy » Wed Mar 28, 2012 5:13 pm

Gabriella wrote:Some great marks from KJT. Her jumps are outstanding and among the better marks the elite senior women are achieving. As we have come to expect with British multi eventers of late, her throws are a little down on what some of her competitors can do, so here’s hoping she continues to improve.

It’s funny because if you look down the heptathlon medalists at world junior level since 98, only half of the actual champions have been successful ( Kluft and Chernova) while the majority of all medalists haven’t. Often the successful juniors to progress as seniors have finished further down the junior rankings and didn’t get junior medals. Ennis is a good example of this as she finished 8th at the World Juniors in 2004. Of the names above her then, some have been successful (Nana Djimou, Machtig) but obviously not to Jess’s level.

Laura Ikauniece, who was second behind KJT at the World Youths in 2009 went on to finish 6th at the World juniors in 2010 but has improved her PB to 6063. It would have been great if KJT hadn’t been injured in 2010 and we could have seen her against Schippers and Gambetta. As we know Schippers concentrated on sprinting in 2011 but has declared the heptathlon as her priority event still, while Gambetta went on to PB in 2011 with 6108. They each have their own strengths, Schippers is the sprinter, Gambetta is the thrower and KJT the jumper! Perhaps it will be Schippers, Gambetta and KJT that will dominate the event in the future?

I cannot wait to see how Sotherton does in Italy. She looked very powerful in the Istanbul commentary box and has obviously put on the upper body muscle she lost when doing the 400. She said she has focussed more on technique now she is older, so we’ll see soon how that’s gone. She also said she thought she was ‘up there’ with the women in Istanbul. I would think not and suggest that’s typical Kelly mouthing off. She’d need to be at her very best to even finish top 6, and I think she will struggle to break 6300*. Will it even be Kelly to be the one to miss out on selection? KJT will probably out-jump her, so Kelly will need to rely on her running and SP to compensate. But Sotherton has the experience and I think she really wants this, so as long as she gets the qualifying mark she should be in.

* 13.50, 1.80, 13.80, 23.80, 6.30, 33.oo, 2:10 adds up to 6251


Me and Flump had a long talk with Kelly in Istanbul she seemed very confident and i think she'll be ok, i'ma bit worried that it will be louise who loses out :(
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby 72 » Thu Mar 29, 2012 12:14 am

and does Sotherton expect to throw more than 30 metres in the javelin.?
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby Gabriella » Thu Mar 29, 2012 1:54 am

Well 72, whether she expects to or not, she needs to!

She really is a :?: at the moment as we've not seen her complete a heptathlon since 2008. Italy will be telling so let's see. Perhaps the 4 year break from multi's training has given her body the rest it needed and she'll be back near her best? But she's now 35 so it's very doubtful she will be. In her last few seasons as a heptathlete she under performed in her jumps, and I think she will do the same again. She has to be aiming for 1.80 in the HJ and 6.30 in the LJ if she wants to finish top 6. I think achieving both of these will be difficult. However, there's no reason why she shouldn't be throwing way over 14m in the SP. As long as the weight she appears to have put back on is quality muscle, she should still be able to throw far in the shot at her age. This is definitely one event where she shouldn't lose too much. Running wise, 13.3 would be ideal but with a PB of just insoide 13.2 I would imagine she'll be looking at 13.4. In the 200m those years over 400m will hopefully mean she hasnt lost too much, but she'll need between 23.5 and 23.9; she has to run sub 24. Over 800m I think she cna still run a 2:10 or under.
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby mump boy » Thu Mar 29, 2012 4:58 am

72 wrote:and does Sotherton expect to throw more than 30 metres in the javelin.?


Yes she does :D

She says that now the pressure is off and people don't ask her about it 24/7 things are going much better
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby pakillo » Thu Mar 29, 2012 12:02 pm

How things are going with British team and European Champs this year? British trials are very close to Europeans. Jessica Ennis won't be in Helsinki, that's all I know.
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby mump boy » Fri Mar 30, 2012 2:33 am

nobody who is selected for London is supposed to be on the Helsinki team but i don't think it would do any harm for some athletes and i would especially like to see the relay teams compete at the euros.
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby dunedine » Fri Mar 30, 2012 6:26 am

To me, the whole matter is whether Kelly Sotherton negotiates her javelin properly to throw decently well, she can definitely throw over 40m otherwise - and has done so in the long past. I think she is going to do fine in the running events, relatively well in the jumps but where the two question-marks lie will be with her throws since she was away from those quarters for quite a while, so could suffer in the technical aspect as well.

I reckon that all three, Sotherton, KJT and Hazell, are going to score over 6200pts and it's going to be tight to decide who are going to be the two to join Jessica Ennis in London.
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby 72 » Fri Mar 30, 2012 6:36 am

[quote

She really is a :?: at the moment as we've not seen her complete a heptathlon since 2008. Italy will be telling so let's see. Perhaps the 4 year break from multi's training has given her body the rest it needed and she'll be back near her best? But she's now 35 so it's very doubtful she will be. In her last few seasons as a heptathlete she under performed in her jumps, and I think she will do the same again. She has to be aiming for 1.80 in the HJ and 6.30 in the LJ if she wants to finish top 6. I think achieving both of these will be difficult. However, there's no reason why she shouldn't be throwing way over 14m in the SP. As long as the weight she appears to have put back on is quality muscle, she should still be able to throw far in the shot at her age. This is definitely one event where she shouldn't lose too much. Running wise, 13.3 would be ideal but with a PB of just insoide 13.2 I would imagine she'll be looking at 13.4. In the 200m those years over 400m will hopefully mean she hasnt lost too much, but she'll need between 23.5 and 23.9; she has to run sub 24. Over 800m I think she cna still run a 2:10 or under.[/quote]

well I will be very surprised if KS achieves more than 6200; I would go for Louise if she is fit and qualifies. Isn't KJT going to concentrate on Barcelona this year?
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby pakillo » Fri Mar 30, 2012 8:17 am

mump boy wrote:nobody who is selected for London is supposed to be on the Helsinki team but i don't think it would do any harm for some athletes and i would especially like to see the relay teams compete at the euros.

I hope it won't be that bad, but I can expect Dwain Chambers in Helsinki.
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby mump boy » Fri Mar 30, 2012 8:54 am

pakillo wrote:
mump boy wrote:nobody who is selected for London is supposed to be on the Helsinki team but i don't think it would do any harm for some athletes and i would especially like to see the relay teams compete at the euros.

I hope it won't be that bad, but I can expect Dwain Chambers in Helsinki.


Fingers crossed
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby gh » Fri Mar 30, 2012 9:05 am

I've been told that field eventers, and maybe relay runners, will be in Helsinki. Did I hear correctly?
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby dunedine » Fri Mar 30, 2012 10:12 am

As far as I know, KJT's main target is London and, secondly, the World U20 Champs.
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby nevetsllim » Fri Mar 30, 2012 1:37 pm

pakillo wrote:How things are going with British team and European Champs this year? British trials are very close to Europeans. Jessica Ennis won't be in Helsinki, that's all I know.


That's right - although Chernova is apparently doing the Europeans.
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby pakillo » Sat Mar 31, 2012 12:49 am

nevetsllim wrote:
pakillo wrote:How things are going with British team and European Champs this year? British trials are very close to Europeans. Jessica Ennis won't be in Helsinki, that's all I know.


That's right - although Chernova is apparently doing the Europeans.

Dobrynska looks forward to Europeans . Some teams will have Europeans as crucial for earning the place for London. E.g.Spanish Champs is, this year, after the Euros and after the London Games and performance at the Europeans could be decisive.
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby bushop » Tue Apr 10, 2012 4:53 pm

Radcliffe eyes bronze
April 10, 2012 10:56am
"I'm the first to admit this isn't my best chance, but I still have a chance, and when you have a chance - whatever your goal - you just have to give it 100% and see what happens."
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby IanS_Liv » Tue Apr 10, 2012 11:02 pm

gh wrote:I've been told that field eventers, and maybe relay runners, will be in Helsinki. Did I hear correctly?

Yep. That's pretty much what we've been led to believe. Plus any others who're qualified but not likely to be selected for London. The Euros is a trial run for field eventers and relay teams. It is definitely NOT a high priority.
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby mump boy » Wed Apr 11, 2012 2:58 pm

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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby 26mi235 » Wed Apr 11, 2012 8:12 pm

Some will remember my rather critical remarks about "O" and the 4x400. The performance this last indoors had her in completely different mental form for the 4x400; in this case she ran better than her open race rather than like a journeyman runner on a second-tier team. That might not be enough of a difference, but I expect her to be a consideration in the 100 and if her new-found relay prowess is there, an inspired team at home might take several big scalps.
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby peach77 » Fri Apr 13, 2012 1:54 am



The Big O's gonna GETCHA!

I will be the first to admit I've had reservations about Chrissy in recent years but the thing is with the O, you can NEVER discount her and people here and in the media certainly have done that- surely that plays to her advantage? The pressure is entirely off her (at the moment) and the thing everyone seems to overlook is that she has been MASSIVELY injured every year since 2009. I hope she can at least be a contender again, I still don't think 49.6 comes close to her actual potential (that's a whole other thread...) and she is the one of the ultimate big time/clutch performers for me- and it doesn't come much more "big time" than at a hometown Olympics.

BRING IT ON!
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby Flumpy » Fri Apr 13, 2012 4:38 am

Where've you been???
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby peach77 » Sat Apr 14, 2012 2:45 pm

Lurking mostly! When my last profile's week long ban for some spurious reason never got listed I couldn't really be arsed posting...I'm still very much paying attention, mind...!
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby jlt » Sun Apr 15, 2012 12:29 am

Just seen Paula's run in Vienna. What are her chances in London? I'm thinking she might be considered something like 8 or 10th favourite 'on merit'.......am interested what others think.....
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby 72 » Sun Apr 15, 2012 1:22 am

I 'd say her chances are more as to whether she will be on the start line in London; but her run will be full of the usual drama before the race.
Today she looked a very ordinary runner and we can be sure that we will be reading about all the health stuff tomorrow in the British Press. Old(er) athletes are a bit like old soldiers ... just slowly fade away. Sad but inevitable that her greatness is well behind her.
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby dunedine » Sun Apr 15, 2012 2:12 am

Radcliffe has been affected by pleurisy lately so none should jump to any conclusions yet. There are still over three and a half months to go until the marathon in London and 72:03 is a place from where she can leap into sub 70 within short time if fully fit. I think gold is slipping out of her reach but she could still medal if she shakes off her current health issues.
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby 72 » Sun Apr 15, 2012 4:46 am

I will be very surprised if PR makes the top six in August. Her body has taken an enormous beating up over 20 years and all the signs are she will now struggle with the top East Africans and others irrespective of the next 3 months training and reasonable health.
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby mump boy » Sun Apr 15, 2012 4:59 am

72 wrote:I will be very surprised if PR makes the top six in August. Her body has taken an enormous beating up over 20 years and all the signs are she will now struggle with the top East Africans and others irrespective of the next 3 months training and reasonable health.


Unfortunately i agree with this, on a day in which 2 Ethiopians ran Sub 2.19 and sub 2.22 Paula couldn't run anywhere near that fast for half the distance :(

add to that Mary Keitany, Edna and Florence Kipligat, Lilya Shubakova, assorted other ETH, RUS, CHN, JAP etc etc

i'm not holding out much hope
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Re: UK's London Olympic medal contenders

Postby Flumpy » Sun Apr 15, 2012 5:57 am

And yet the last Olympic Marathon was won by 38 year old Constantina Dita :?

I'm not suggesting that Paula's going to do the same just that times often don't mean anything in championship marathons.
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